Can the Dodgers win 110 games?

A few days ago I showed how weak the Dodger 2nd half schedule was and Dan Szymborski chimed in today also showing how weak the Dodger second half schedule is. According to Dan, the Dodger 2nd half opponents have just a .476 winning percentage based on their win/losses as he wrote the article.

The Dodger record right now is 64  – 29, which is a .688 winning percentage.  They have 69 games left.

  • If they play one game over .500 at 35 – 34 they end up 99 – 63
  • If they play five games over .500 at 37 – 32 they end up 101 – 61
  • If they play eleven games over .500 at 40 – 29 they end up 104 – 58
  • If they play fifteen games over .500 at 42 – 27 they end up 106 – 56
  • If they play twenty-three games over .500 at 46 – 23 they end up 110 – 62

Basically, if the Dodgers can win twice as many games as they lose over the next 69 games they can win 110 games. Is an 110 win season realistic? I think it is for the following reasons.

  • The team is loaded and while they won’t go 29 – 4 again, it isn’t hard to see this team continuing to play at a high level for the rest of the year. They haven’t made any trades yet to upgrade the team. They still have Adrian Gonzalez in reserve in case either Bellinger or Taylor hit a wall. I don’t even think Cory Seager or Puig have hit their peaks this year yet.
  • The NL is very weak this year.  I think we have already seen major stumbles by the Rockies and Diamondbacks.  The Brewers lead the NL Central with a rotation of pitchers who couldn’t make the Dodgers eight man rotation except for Jimmy Nelson.
  • Depth Depth Depth- everywhere

Just for fun, I finished out the season with what I thought was a possible scenario. My best guess came up with 108 wins.  Do 110 wins compared to 108 wins mean anything? Nope, nothing at all. That is what we do here. Nothing at all.

Game# Date Where Team Possible Result Wins Losses
93 Sunday, July 16th @ Miami Win 64 29
94 Tuesday, Jul 18 @ CHW Win 65 29
95 Wednesday, Jul 19 @ CHW Lose 65 30
96 Thursday, Jul 20 ATL Lose 65 31
97 Friday, Jul 21 ATL Win 66 31
98 Saturday, Jul 22 ATL Win 67 31
99 Sunday, Jul 23 ATL Win 68 31
100 Monday, Jul 24 MIN Win 69 31
101 Tuesday, Jul 25 MIN Lose 69 32
102 Wednesday, Jul 26 MIN Win 70 32
103 Friday, Jul 28 SFG Win 71 32
104 Saturday, Jul 29 SFG Lose 71 33
105 Sunday, Jul 30 SFG Win 72 33
106 Tuesday, Aug 1 @ ATL Lose 72 34
107 Wednesday, Aug 2 @ ATL Win 73 34
108 Thursday, Aug 3 @ ATL Win 74 34
109 Friday, Aug 4 @ NYM Lose 74 35
110 Saturday, Aug 5 @ NYM Win 75 35
111 Sunday, Aug 6 @ NYM Win 76 35
112 Tuesday, Aug 8 @ ARI Lose 76 36
113 Wednesday, Aug 9 @ ARI Lose 76 37
114 Thursday, Aug 10 @ ARI Win 77 37
115 Friday, Aug 11 SDP Lose 77 38
116 Saturday, Aug 12 SDP Win 78 38
117 Sunday, Aug 13 SDP Win 79 38
118 Tuesday, Aug 15 CHW Win 80 38
119 Wednesday, Aug 16 CHW Win 81 38
120 Friday, Aug 18 @ DET Lose 81 39
121 Saturday, Aug 19 @ DET Win 82 39
122 Sunday, Aug 20 @ DET Win 83 39
123 Monday, Aug 21 @ PIT Lose 83 40
124 Tuesday, Aug 22 @ PIT Win 84 40
125 Wednesday, Aug 23 @ PIT Win 85 40
126 Thursday, Aug 24 @ PIT Lose 85 41
127 Friday, Aug 25 MIL Lose 85 42
128 Saturday, Aug 26 MIL Win 86 42
129 Sunday, Aug 27 MIL Win 87 42
130 Tuesday, Aug 29 @ ARI Win 88 42
131 Wednesday, Aug 30 @ ARI Win 89 42
132 Thursday, Aug 31 @ ARI Lose 89 43
133 Friday, Sep 1 @ SDP Lose 89 44
134 Saturday, Sep 2 @ SDP Win 90 44
135 Saturday, Sep 2 @ SDP Lose 90 45
136 Sunday, Sep 3 @ SDP Win 91 45
137 Monday, Sep 4 ARI Win 92 45
138 Tuesday, Sep 5 ARI Lose 92 46
139 Wednesday, Sep 6 ARI Win 93 46
140 Thursday, Sep 7 COL Win 94 46
141 Friday, Sep 8 COL Win 95 46
142 Saturday, Sep 9 COL Lose 95 47
143 Sunday, Sep 10 COL Win 96 47
144 Monday, Sep 11 @ SFG Lose 96 48
145 Tuesday, Sep 12 @ SFG Win 97 48
146 Wednesday, Sep 13 @ SFG Win 98 48
147 Friday, Sep 15 @ WSN Lose 98 49
148 Saturday, Sep 16 @ WSN Lose 98 50
149 Sunday, Sep 17 @ WSN Win 99 50
150 Monday, Sep 18 @ PHI Win 100 50
151 Tuesday, Sep 19 @ PHI Win 101 50
152 Wednesday, Sep 20 @ PHI Win 102 50
153 Thursday, Sep 21 @ PHI Lose 102 51
154 Friday, Sep 22 SFG Lose 102 52
155 Saturday, Sep 23 SFG Win 103 52
156 Sunday, Sep 24 SFG Win 104 52
157 Monday, Sep 25 SDP Win 105 52
158 Tuesday, Sep 26 SDP Win 106 52
159 Wednesday, Sep 27 SDP Lose 106 53
160 Friday, Sep 29 @ COL Lose 106 54
161 Saturday, Sep 30 @ COL Win 107 54
162 Sunday, Oct 1 @ COL Win 108 54
Advertisements

3 Comments

  1. 68elcamino427

    This reminds me of Maury Wills stolen base record in 1962.

    The LA Times ran a story mid season wondering just how many bases
    “The Mouse That Roared” could swipe.

    Included in the story front and center on the top of front page of the sports section was a semi completed graph with the games on the horizontal and the stolen base total on the vertical.

    I got a pair of scissors, cut the graph out of the paper and followed along dutifully filling in the little boxes stolen base by stolen base, day by day.

    I think the graph only went up to 100 bases. I had to write outside the lines to keep going as the Wills took the line right through the ceiling.

    I kept that little piece of paper for a few years.

    Like

  2. This is great. I could have seen myself doing the same thing in 1962. How cool was it that he even exceeded their most optimistic projection.
    It would be something if this team already had their only slump of the year back at the beginning. Probably getting a head of myself but I do think they have a legit shot at 110 wins. Will be fun to watch the wins accumulate.

    Like

Trackbacks

  1. 68 – 31, right on track after 4 – 2 week | Dodgers, Yesterday and Today

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: