Alex Wood about to pounce on the Vulture

In 1966 Phil Regan won fourteen games as a relief pitcher for the NL Champion Dodgers and earned the nickname “The Vulture” for pilfering wins from the starting pitchers.  He also only lost one game and has the greatest winning percentage of any Los Angeles Dodger with at least twelve wins. Eric Stephen explains how he earned the nickname.

But what stood out was his 14-1 record.

In eight of those wins, Regan entered a tie game, and four times he came in when the Dodgers were trailing. Only twice did he earn a win after blowing a lead, each time surrendering a one-run lead by allowing an inherited run to score.

But he earned the nickname “The Vulture” from teammates, one he and the team embraced.

Alex Wood won his thirteenth game last night and with only one loss now has a winning % of .929 putting him within one more win of matching Phil Regan’s amazing record in 1966.

Only Phil Regan and Ron Perranoski were relief pitchers on the list below which shows every Los Angeles Dodger with at least twelve wins and a winning percentage of over .800%.  You can see by the ERA+, these were not fluke years, these pitchers earned those wins.  Well most of them anyway, Rick Rhoden’s record was a bit flukish.

Player            W-L%  W Year GS L ERA+
Phil Regan        .933 14 1966  0 1  203
Alex Wood         .929 13 2017 17 1  179
Clayton Kershaw   .882 15 2017 21 2  204
Clayton Kershaw   .875 21 2014 27 3  197
Zack Greinke      .864 19 2015 32 3  222
Orel Hershiser    .864 19 1985 34 3  171
Ron Perranoski    .842 16 1963  0 3  179
Sandy Koufax      .833 25 1963 40 5  159
Tommy John        .813 13 1974 22 3  132
Clayton Kershaw   .808 21 2011 33 5  161
Brad Penny        .800 16 2007 33 4  147
Rick Rhoden       .800 12 1976 26 3  113

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/4/2017.

Cody Bellinger catches a Trout and a Nomar

With his 30th home run last night, Cody Bellinger has now joined a select list of rookies who have hit at least 30 home runs. Cody caught future HOF Mike Trout, Boston great Nomar Garciaparra,  Twin great Bobby Allison,  and Pete Incaviglia.

He also caught Willie Montanez  and with one more home run will have the most home runs by a left handed hitting rookie in the NL.

Next on his list is HOF Ted Williams at 31. If you have been following our Chasing Piazza series you know Cody is on pace to easily break the Dodger rookie home run record of 35.  That 35 home runs is also the major league record for a left handed rookie hitter set by Hal Trosky back in 1934. Only seven left handed rookies have ever hit at least 30 home runs.  I thought for years that Jimmie Hall had the record at 33. I’ll talk about Jimmie Hall more when Cody hits number 33. Probably this Sunday at this rate.

Trosky had an interesting career. When you look at his baseball reference page you see a player who started with a bang but stopped playing at age 28 in 1941. I thought the war interrupted his career but the baseball sabr bio says it was migraines.

his career reached its apex in 1936, when he led the American League in runs batted in with 162, yet he has largely been consigned to historical obscurity. This anonymity is not only due to the reality that his career overlapped a triumvirate of Jimmie Foxx, Hank Greenberg, and Lou Gehrig, a triumvirate of future Hall of Fame first basemen who held a virtual lock on the position on the American League All Star teams of the mid-’30s, but also because, at what should have been the peak of his career, Trosky was sidelined with two years of severe migraine headaches, pain so debilitating that he became unable to take the field for days in a row.

From age 21 – 28 Trosky hit 215 home runs. He tried to come back in 1944 and 1946 but it didn’t work out and he ended his career with only 5748 plate appearances and 228 home runs with an OPS+ of 130. He had a short but brilliant career. The man once hit 42 home runs, drove in 162 runs, had an OPS of 146, led the league in TB with 405 and finished 10th in MVP voting.

Player                        HR Year Age  Tm Lg  PA
Mark McGwire (RoY-1st)        49 1987  23 OAK AL 641
Frank Robinson (RoY-1st)      38 1956  20 CIN NL 667
Albert Pujols (RoY-1st)       37 2001  21 STL NL 676
Al Rosen                      37 1950  26 CLE AL 668
Jose Abreu (RoY-1st)          36 2014  27 CHW AL 622
Mike Piazza (RoY-1st)         35 1993  24 LAD NL 602
Ron Kittle (RoY-1st)          35 1983  25 CHW AL 570
Rudy York                     35 1937  23 DET AL 417
Hal Trosky                    35 1934  21 CLE AL 685
Aaron Judge                   34 2017  25 NYY AL 449
Ryan Braun (RoY-1st)          34 2007  23 MIL NL 492
Walt Dropo (RoY-1st)          34 1950  27 BOS AL 609
Jose Canseco (RoY-1st)        33 1986  21 OAK AL 682
Earl Williams (RoY-1st)       33 1971  22 ATL NL 550
Jimmie Hall (RoY-3rd)         33 1963  25 MIN AL 571
Chris Young (RoY-4th)         32 2007  23 ARI NL 624
Matt Nokes (RoY-3rd)          32 1987  23 DET AL 508
Tony Oliva (RoY-1st)          32 1964  25 MIN AL 719
Tim Salmon (RoY-1st)          31 1993  24 CAL AL 610
Jim Ray Hart (RoY-2nd)        31 1964  22 SFG NL 625
Ted Williams                  31 1939  20 BOS AL 675
Cody Bellinger                30 2017  21 LAD NL 363
Mike Trout (RoY-1st)          30 2012  20 LAA AL 639
Nomar Garciaparra (RoY-1st)   30 1997  23 BOS AL 734
Pete Incaviglia               30 1986  22 TEX AL 606
Willie Montanez (RoY-2nd)     30 1971  23 PHI NL 683
Bob Allison (RoY-1st)         30 1959  24 WSH AL 638

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/3/2017.

Chasing Piazza / Robinson / Green / McGwire with number 30 and catching Montanez

Leave it to Joe Davis and the Dodger research group to throw a wrinkle at me. Here I was focusing on the all time LAD Rookie home run record of 35 by Piazza, the NL Rookie Record of 38 by Frank Robinson, the major league Rookie record of 49 by Mark McGwire, and the all time Dodger home run record of 49 by Shawn Green.

Yet, it never occurred to check out the NL rookie home runs by a left handed batter.

Which was Willie Montanez with 30.

Cody Bellinger just caught him. Next on the list is someone called Ted Williams. Probably didn’t have much of a career.

Player                        HR Year Age  Tm Lg  PA
Hal Trosky                    35 1934  21 CLE AL 685
Jimmie Hall (RoY-3rd)         33 1963  25 MIN AL 571
Matt Nokes (RoY-3rd)          32 1987  23 DET AL 508
Tony Oliva (RoY-1st)          32 1964  25 MIN AL 719
Ted Williams                  31 1939  20 BOS AL 675
Willie Montanez (RoY-2nd)     30 1971  23 PHI NL 683
Cody Bellinger                30 2017  21 LAD NL 360
Prince Fielder (RoY-7th)      28 2006  22 MIL NL 648
David Justice (RoY-1st)       28 1990  24 ATL NL 504
Luke Easter                   28 1950  34 CLE AL 623
Alvin Davis (RoY-1st)         27 1984  23 SEA AL 678
Corey Seager (RoY-1st)        26 2016  22 LAD NL 687
Joc Pederson (RoY-6th)        26 2015  23 LAD NL 585
Darryl Strawberry (RoY-1st)   26 1983  21 NYM NL 473
Bobby Murcer                  26 1969  23 NYY AL 625
Todd Helton (RoY-2nd)         25 1998  24 COL NL 595
Billy Williams (RoY-1st)      25 1961  23 CHC NL 584
Eddie Mathews (RoY-3rd)       25 1952  20 BSN NL 593
Del Bissonette                25 1928  28 BRO NL 668

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/2/2017.

With home runs on back to back games against the Braves, Cody Bellinger has caught the pace of Shawn Green.

Player PA HR HR/PA Aug 2nd Total Leader Year
Mike Piazza 531 30 17.70 21 35 LAD Rookie HR 1993
Frank Robinson 505 30 16.83 24 38 NL Rookie HR 1956
Mark McGwire 306 30 10.20 37 49 AL Rookie HR 1987
Shawn Green 452 30 15.07 30 49 LAD All time HR 2001
Cody Bellinger 334 30 11.13 30 ??? Chasing 2017

King of the Hill once again

Rich Hill won the July NL Pitcher of the Month. He had won the AL award in 2016 in May.  Seems like a long time ago that Rich Hill couldn’t pitch and the Dodgers were laboring in late April.

Does it seem like the Dodgers are owning the Pitcher of the Month?  Would you believe that two Dodgers have won NL Pitcher of the Month in 2017 and neither is named Kershaw?

Alex Wood won in May, and now Rich Hill has won for July.

Per the Dodgers Press Release:

In five July starts, Hill registered a 4-0 record with a 1.45 ERA and an impressive 40:5 strikeout-to walk ratio en route to claiming his second career monthly award, last winning the AL Pitcher of the Month Award for the Oakland Athletics in May 2016.  The left-hander allowed just 19 hits and two home runs across 31.0 innings of work.  Rich is the second Dodgers hurler to earn monthly honors this season, following Alex Wood’s award-winning month of May. Among qualified NL starters, Hill finished the period tied for first in wins, second in strikeouts and third in ERA.

Fangraphs dashboard shows us what all that meant.

Name GS IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WAR
Aaron Nola 5 34 11.38 2.12 1.32 1.4
Michael Wacha 5 32.2 10.19 1.38 1.93 1.2
Clayton Kershaw 4 25 11.88 1.44 0.72 1.2
Rich Hill 5 31 11.61 1.45 1.45 1.2
Brent Suter 5 30 7.5 1.5 1.5 1.1
Zack Greinke 5 34 8.74 1.32 2.12 1
Lance Lynn 6 36.2 5.89 2.45 1.47 1
German Marquez 5 33.1 10.53 1.89 3.51 1

Is this the last of Brock?

Brock Stewart will take the mound against the Braves tonight but it might be the last time we see him until September.

With the acquisitions of Yu Darvish, Tony Watson, and Tony Cingrani his hold on a spot on the Dodger pitching staff might be in jeopardy.

Starting Rotation after this start:

Wood, Darvish, Hill, Ryu, Maeda

Brock won’t see another start unless they go to a six man rotation and why would they do that? Since he can’t pitch for at least four days, it would make sense to option him and that allows them to activate the recently acquired Tony Cingrani.

Yu Darvish needs to be activated and that should take care of Josh Ravin. (just happened as I was writing)

After that McCarthy is due to come off the DL and another pitcher will need to go.

What happens when Kershaw comes back? We have a few weeks to find out who is pulling their weight or if DL moves are in the future.

Which is too bad because Stewart has been great out of the bullpen but there just doesn’t seem to be room for him if you are keeping three left handed relief pitchers.

Jansen, Baez, Morrow, Avilan, Watson, Cingrani, Fields, Stripling.

The biggest reason for the Dodgers to care about games in Sept is that so many players will be fighting for a spot on the postseason roster.  I’ll tackle that tomorrow.

 

Great Lake Loons July Stats Snapshot & Overview

Hitters:

  • Top prospects coming and going. Keibert Ruiz is now in Rancho but Jeren Kendall the 2017 number one pick is playing for the Loons
  • Keibert Ruiz and Cristian Santana would appear to be the only two hitters who have overcome the pitching league and park.  I feel what Ruiz did at this level is much more impressive than the crazy numbers he’s putting up with Rancho.
  • Kendall, Wong, and Yarnall are new pieces, can they crack the code and put up some offensive numbers? Probably not, but Yarnall is off to a good start.
  • Oneil Cruz and Brendon Davis are both on new teams.
  • 2016 Number one pick Gavin Lux started flexing some muscle over the past few weeks but overall has had an abysmal offensive season.  He probably just needs to get promoted to Rancho to start showing some power.
Name                 Age  PA 2B HR   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
Cody Thomas*          22 391 14 15 .229 .286 .411 .697
Oneil Cruz            18 375  9  8 .240 .293 .342 .635
Brendon Davis         19 367 19  8 .245 .357 .403 .760
Gavin Lux*            19 366  8  6 .212 .313 .328 .641
Carlos Rincon         19 327 13 16 .199 .269 .412 .681
Mitchell Hansen*      21 299  9  5 .198 .288 .312 .599
Keibert Ruiz#         18 251 16  2 .317 .372 .423 .795
Saige Jenco*          22 250  9  3 .242 .341 .363 .704
Steve Berman          22 184  8  0 .226 .283 .274 .556
Luis Paz*             20 153  4  3 .196 .248 .301 .549
Eric Meza*            19 114  5  1 .233 .289 .311 .600
Gage Green*           24 107  8  0 .213 .271 .298 .569
Cristian Santana      20  94  6  3 .333 .340 .495 .835
Gersel Pitre          20  93  5  0 .247 .304 .306 .610
Errol Robinson        22  86  5  3 .247 .291 .455 .745
Zach McKinstry*       22  69  7  1 .308 .478 .500 .978
Zach Reks*            23  65  2  0 .309 .406 .345 .752
Darien Tubbs          22  60  1  0 .137 .233 .157 .390
Jared Walker*         21  56  1  4 .176 .250 .431 .681
Moises Perez          19  55  4  0 .163 .236 .245 .481
Nick Yarnall*         22  35  1  2 .250 .400 .500 .900
Brayan Morales        21  34  1  0 .185 .353 .222 .575
Connor Wong           21  29  1  0 .167 .276 .208 .484
Brandon Montgomery    21  26  2  0 .217 .308 .304 .612
Jeren Kendall*        21  25  0  1 .174 .240 .478 .718
Shakir Albert         20  15  2  0 .231 .333 .385 .718

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Cristian Santana might want to look at a few pitches.

At least Gavin Lux has shown excellent plate discipline, just can’t seem to hit the ball hard yet.

Name / Age PA BB% K% wOBA / wRC+ ISO
Cody Thomas / 22 396 6.60% 29.30% 0.315 / 95 0.179
Oneil Cruz / 18 375 7.50% 29.30% 0.291 / 79 0.102
Gavin Lux / 19 371 12.40% 17.30% 0.305 / 89 0.121
Brendon Davis / 19 367 12.80% 29.20% 0.35 / 118 0.158
Carlos Rincon / 19 332 8.40% 37.70% 0.301 / 86 0.209
Mitchell Hansen / 21 299 10.70% 25.10% 0.278 / 71 0.114
Saige Jenco / 22 254 11.40% 20.10% 0.33 / 105 0.128
Keibert Ruiz / 18 251 7.20% 12.00% 0.363 / 127 0.106
Luis Paz / 20 153 6.50% 26.80% 0.254 / 55 0.105
Eric Meza / 19 114 6.10% 16.70% 0.278 / 71 0.078
Cristian Santana / 20 99 1.00% 22.20% 0.374 / 134 0.153
Gersel Pitre / 20 93 7.50% 21.50% 0.286 / 76 0.059
Nick Yarnall / 22 40 22.50% 27.50% 0.416 / 162 0.226
Brayan Morales / 21 34 17.60% 17.60% 0.296 / 82 0.037
Brandon Montgomery / 21 30 10.00% 23.30% 0.343 / 114 0.074
Jeren Kendall / 21 30 6.70% 26.70% 0.285 / 75 0.259
Connor Wong / 21 29 10.30% 24.10% 0.24 / 46 0.042

Pitchers:

  • A.J. Alexy and Angel German are gone. Alexy had swing and miss stuff but also some command issues. Lowest BA against among the starters.
  • 17-year-old Melvin Jiminez and 20-year-old Imani Abdullah just showed up. Have to admit I was expecting alot from Abdullah this year but he has missed most of the year and will try to use the final month to get ready for next year.
  • With A.J. Alexy gone, Dustin May is the best prospect here and pitches like it. Will be curious to see which one has the better career or if either even have a career.
  • For a 22-year-old in a pitchers league in a pitchers park, Jordan Sheffield has sure been underwhelming. If I didn’t know the draft pedigree I’d look at the numbers and think Devin Smelzter was the better pitcher to bet on.  Smeltzer is already at Rancho while Sheffield looks to finish the year with the Loons.

 

Name                  Age  ERA  GS    IP  WHIP   H9 BB9  SO9 SO/W
Leonardo Crawford*     20 4.90  19 104.2 1.328  9.1 2.8  6.6 2.33
Dustin May             19 4.24  20 102.0 1.225  8.9 2.1  8.6 4.08
Jordan Sheffield       22 3.84  19  82.0 1.488  8.9 4.5  8.9 1.98
A.J. Alexy             19 3.67  19  73.2 1.127  5.6 4.5 10.5 2.32
Chris Mathewson        21 3.29   7  68.1 1.434  9.5 3.4  8.7 2.54
Devin Smeltzer*        21 3.78  10  52.1 0.994  6.9 2.1  9.8 4.75
Sven Schueller         21 1.49   0  48.1 1.179  7.3 3.4  5.6 1.67
Vinny Santarsiero      23 2.82   0  44.2 1.410  9.1 3.6  4.2 1.17
Christian Stolo*       23 4.31   1  39.2 1.487 10.2 3.2  8.8 2.79
Miguel Urena           22 2.14   0  33.2 1.188  7.0 3.7  6.4 1.71
Nolan Long             23 2.70   0  33.1 1.230  6.5 4.6 13.8 3.00
Angel German           21 1.91   0  33.0 1.091  6.0 3.8 10.1 2.64
Andre Scrubb           22 1.64   0  33.0 1.182  4.4 6.3  9.5 1.52
Willian Soto           21 3.03   2  29.2 1.685 12.1 3.0  8.2 2.70
Ryan Moseley           22 7.71   0  21.0 1.619 10.3 4.3  7.7 1.80
Patrick Duester        23 4.82   0  18.2 1.179  7.2 3.4  9.2 2.71
Parker Curry           23 1.88   1  14.1 0.767  5.0 1.9 10.7 5.67
Imani Abdullah         20 5.11   6  12.1 1.541  8.8 5.1  9.5 1.86
Lenix Osuna            21 9.00   1  11.0 1.818 11.5 4.9  8.2 1.67
Jay Muhammad           22 3.38   0  10.2 1.313  7.6 4.2 14.3 3.40
Austin French*         23 6.00   0   9.0 2.111 11.0 8.0  9.0 1.13

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

 

Name / Age IP K% BB% K-BB% AVG
Leo Crawford / 20 104.2 16.90% 7.20% 9.70% 0.253
Dustin May / 19 102 22.10% 5.40% 16.70% 0.246
Jordan Sheffield / 22 82 22.40% 11.40% 11.10% 0.258
A.J. Alexy / 19 73.2 28.40% 12.20% 16.20% 0.178
Chris Mathewson / 21 68.1 22.20% 8.80% 13.50% 0.266
Devin Smeltzer / 21 52.1 27.90% 5.90% 22.10% 0.209
Sven Schueller / 21 48.1 14.50% 8.70% 5.80% 0.214
Vinny Santarsiero / 23 44.2 10.50% 9.00% 1.50% 0.259
Christian Stolo / 23 39.2 22.70% 8.10% 14.50% 0.289
Miguel Urena / 22 33.2 17.00% 9.90% 7.10% 0.211
Nolan Long / 23 33.1 35.20% 11.70% 23.50% 0.189
Angel German / 21 33 27.40% 10.40% 17.00% 0.186
Andre Scrubb / 22 33 26.30% 17.30% 9.00% 0.147
Willian Soto / 21 29.2 20.30% 7.50% 12.80% 0.325
Ryan Moseley / 22 21 18.00% 10.00% 8.00% 0.27
Patrick Duester / 23 18.2 24.70% 9.10% 15.60% 0.217
Parker Curry / 23 14.1 30.90% 5.50% 25.50% 0.154
Imani Abdullah / 20 12.1 23.60% 12.70% 10.90% 0.25
Lenix Osuna / 21 11 17.90% 10.70% 7.10% 0.286
Jeremiah Muhammad / 22 10.2 36.20% 10.60% 25.50% 0.214
Austin French / 23 9 19.60% 17.40% 2.20% 0.29
Tony Gonsolin / 23 8 36.40% 0.00% 36.40% 0.242
Gregorio Sequera / 19 8 14.00% 20.90% -7.00% 0.294
Melvin Jimenez / 17 7 25.90% 14.80% 11.10% 0.087

A+ – Rancho July Stat Snapshot & Review

Hitters:

  • Top ten prospect Yusniel Diaz was just promoted to AA Tulsa. At 20 Diaz is having a solid season but nothing stands out. He is more about the scouting tools than actual production but we do have to remember he’s 20, even though he repeated the league.
  • 2016 first round pick Will Smith was also promoted to AA Tulsa. As a catcher, Smith doesn’t need the hit tool as much as Diaz. Smith stands out with his plate discipline carrying a .352 OBP even with a BA at .232. A nice 120 point spread.
  • Drew Jackson is finally at AA. Drew repeated this league after being acquired from the Marines for Chase De Jong.  At 23 I expected more from a top 10 – 20 prospect repeating this type of league. I’m not seeing anything that would suggest he’s any better than Errol Robinson or the just traded Brendon Davis.
  • Luke Raley is doing what he can to put himself on the prospect map and appears to be succeeding.  It does appear he has passed Scavuzzo on the prospect ladder but once he hits AA, that will determine if he keeps climbing or starts sliding.
  • DJ Peters has been the hitting star for Rancho. Power/Patience, you can’t beat it for a CF.
  • Ariel Sandoval is easily the biggest disappointment on this team. Maybe in the whole system when you consider the expectations that David Hood put on him.
  • I told you in the Tulsa overview how bad Johan Mieses had been for Tulsa and how good he had been in Rancho. Now you can see the numbers. Johan went into beast mode for Rancho and after 100 PA is back with Tulsa hoping to keep the bat going.
  • Should we talk about Keibert Ruiz or are you sick of him? 1.150 OPS. Never expected that and I was his biggest fan.  Guess California really agrees with him.
Name                  Age   PA  2B   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
DJ Peters              21  448  22 .283 .386 .541  .927
Luke Raley*            22  424  15 .284 .368 .466  .834
Ibandel Isabel         22  381  10 .256 .323 .483  .805
Omar Estevez           19  371  19 .243 .304 .344  .649
Yusniel Diaz           20  374  15 .278 .343 .414  .757
Drew Jackson           23  297  16 .254 .367 .429  .796
Will Smith             22  305  15 .232 .355 .448  .803
Brandon Montgomery     21  243  12 .248 .277 .323  .600
Zach McKinstry*        22  226   8 .232 .307 .315  .622
Ariel Sandoval         21  162   4 .190 .265 .320  .585
James Kennedy*         24  149   8 .264 .362 .419  .781
Victor Roache          25  128   8 .202 .258 .437  .695
Johan Mieses           21  129  17 .353 .411 .707 1.118
Erick Mejia#           22   97   4 .230 .292 .333  .625
Errol Robinson         22   76   4 .286 .342 .514  .856
Jared Walker*          21   77   4 .224 .325 .328  .653
Logan Landon           24   67   4 .276 .364 .500  .864
Keibert Ruiz#          18   60   4 .375 .400 .750 1.150
28 Players           21.6 4164 195 .260 .339 .437  .777

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Now, lets take a look at the advanced metrics via Fangraphs:

  • K% for DJ Peters is certainly worrisome, but how about that ISO and double digit BB%?
  • Keibert Ruiz has a K% below 10 and an ISO over .300. WAT
  • Will Smith looks good across the board.
Name / Age PA BB% K% wOBA / wRC+ ISO
DJ Peters / 21 455 11.40% 31.40% 0.404 / 148 0.253
Luke Raley / 22 424 7.80% 23.10% 0.371 / 127 0.182
Ibandel Isabel / 22 386 8.00% 35.00% 0.351 / 114 0.227
Omar Estevez / 19 376 7.40% 20.20% 0.298 / 79 0.099
Yusniel Diaz / 20 374 9.40% 19.50% 0.338 / 105 0.136
Will Smith / 22 305 12.10% 23.30% 0.358 / 118 0.216
Drew Jackson / 23 298 11.40% 22.50% 0.359 / 119 0.175
Brandon Montgomery / 21 243 4.10% 16.50% 0.269 / 60 0.075
Zach McKinstry / 22 232 9.10% 25.90% 0.288 / 72 0.082
Ariel Sandoval / 21 167 8.40% 36.50% 0.265 / 57 0.125
Garrett Kennedy / 24 149 10.70% 26.80% 0.354 / 116 0.155
Johan Mieses / 21 129 7.80% 29.50% 0.472 / 192 0.353
Victor Roache / 25 128 7.00% 42.20% 0.302 / 81 0.235
Erick Mejia / 22 97 8.20% 19.60% 0.283 / 69 0.103
Jared Walker / 21 77 13.00% 45.50% 0.298 / 79 0.104
Errol Robinson / 22 76 6.60% 22.40% 0.372 / 127 0.229
Logan Landon / 24 67 11.90% 16.40% 0.38 / 133 0.224
Keibert Ruiz / 18 66 6.10% 7.60% 0.471 / 192 0.35
Brendon Davis / 19 33 9.10% 39.40% 0.298 / 79 0.2

Pitchers:

  • Probably being overly optimistic but a lot of great minor league pitchers seem to be flowing through Rancho this year. Alvarez, Santana, White, Buehler are all already in AA with Walker going one extra rung to AAA. Ferguson and Smeltzer are both being successful while being young for the league. Lots to like here.
  • In looking at the numbers you’d never guess that Yadier Alvarez was the top pitching prospect headed into the season and that Dennis Santana couldn’t find his way onto most top 30 LAD prospect lists.
  • Caleb Ferguson is having a solid season for a 20-year-old in the tough hitting league and had an exceptional game last night to start August off right.

 

Name              Age   ERA GS   IP  WHIP HR9 BB9  SO9 SO/W
Adam Bray          24  3.51 14 97.1 1.110 1.4 1.8  8.8 5.00
Caleb Ferguson*    20  2.92 19 95.2 1.359 0.5 4.2  9.3 2.20
Dennis Santana     21  3.57 14 85.2 1.272 0.5 2.3  9.7 4.18
Dean Kremer        21  5.45  6 66.0 1.485 0.7 3.5 10.5 2.96
Devin Smeltzer*    21  4.72 11 61.0 1.443 1.0 1.5 10.6 7.20
Yadier Alvarez     21  5.31 11 59.1 1.449 0.5 3.8  9.3 2.44
Andrew Istler      24  3.16  0 51.1 1.266 0.5 2.1  9.5 4.50
Tony Gonsolin      23  4.79  0 47.0 1.362 0.8 2.7 10.0 3.71
Alex Hermeling     24  1.83  0 44.1 1.015 0.6 2.2  7.7 3.45
Mitchell White     22  3.72  9 38.2 1.086 0.0 3.7 11.4 3.06
Michael Boyle*     23  4.65  2 31.0 1.419 0.6 2.9  7.3 2.50
Parker Curry       23  4.06  0 31.0 1.387 0.3 2.9 12.2 4.20
Ryan Moseley       22  3.26  3 30.1 1.385 0.0 5.0  5.9 1.18
Chris Powell       24  4.50  0 28.0 1.321 1.0 1.6  9.6 6.00
Andrew Thurman     25  0.00  3 18.2 0.750 0.0 1.4  7.7 5.33
Walker Buehler     22  1.10  5 16.1 0.796 0.0 2.8 14.9 5.40
Shea Spitzbarth    22  0.57  0 15.2 0.894 0.0 2.9 15.5 5.40
Daniel Corcino     26  4.26  0 12.2 1.579 0.7 2.8  9.2 3.25
Kevin Brown        25  7.30  0 12.1 2.108 0.7 5.8 10.9 1.88
Wes Helsabeck*     24  1.59  0 11.1 1.324 0.0 5.6 15.1 2.71
Isaac Anderson     23 10.13  1 10.2 1.875 0.0 3.4  7.6 2.25
Sven Schueller     21  4.50  0 10.0 1.600 0.9 6.3  4.5 0.71

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Taking a look at the advanced pitching metrics from Fangraphs:

  • No wonder I like Dennis Santana. For a guy who they say doesn’t have the command he sure looks like he has command.
  • You can see that the one bugaboo for Caleb Ferguson is his command, the K% is solid.
  • Mitch White and Walker Buehler are hard to hit.
  • Smeltzer has the lowest BB% on the team and a nice K% but when they make contact they almost put up a .300 BA.
  • Nothing stands out for Yadier Alveraz here, so, for now, it is all about scouting.
Name / Age IP K% BB% K-BB% AVG
Adam Bray / 24 97.1 23.90% 4.80% 19.10% 0.236
Caleb Ferguson / 20 95.2 24.20% 11.00% 13.20% 0.237
Dennis Santana / 21 85.2 24.70% 5.90% 18.80% 0.257
Dean Kremer / 21 66 26.20% 8.80% 17.40% 0.272
Devin Smeltzer / 21 61 26.40% 3.70% 22.70% 0.299
Yadier Alvarez / 21 59.1 23.30% 9.50% 13.70% 0.257
Andrew Istler / 24 51.1 26.00% 5.80% 20.20% 0.272
Tony Gonsolin / 23 47 26.30% 7.10% 19.20% 0.272
Alex Hermeling / 24 44.1 21.40% 6.20% 15.20% 0.207
Mitchell White / 22 38.2 30.80% 10.10% 20.80% 0.186
Parker Curry / 23 31 30.90% 7.40% 23.50% 0.264
Michael Boyle / 23 31 18.70% 7.50% 11.20% 0.276
Ryan Moseley / 22 30.1 16.10% 13.70% 2.40% 0.236
Chris Powell / 24 28 24.40% 4.10% 20.30% 0.276
Andrew Thurman / 25 18.2 23.50% 4.40% 19.10% 0.169
Walker Buehler / 22 16.1 42.90% 7.90% 34.90% 0.14
Shea Spitzbarth / 22 15.2 45.00% 8.30% 36.70% 0.164

 

AA – Tulsa July Stat Snapshot & Review

Hitters:

  • Two of the main prospects Edwin Rios and Kyle Farmer are already gone. Farmer hit AAA on his way to become a folk hero in Los Angeles. Edwin Rios is in AAA and doing what he does best. Hit.
  • The other main prospect is Will Smith but he got hurt as soon as he arrived so he’s just a tiny footnote for now.
  • Four infielders are trying to make their case to be the next major league utility infielder. Jose Fernandez, Errol Robinson, Tim Locastro, and Erick Mejia. I’d probably bet on on Errol Robinson.
  • Henry Ramos crushed it during his time here, and just got promoted to AAA where he went 4 for 4 in his OKC debut. Ramos has never hit like this so I don’t know what to make of him.
  • The power hitting Peter O’Brien just couldn’t get it going and has been optioned off the 40 man roster. O’Brien has 128 minor league home runs but didn’t hit many here.
  • Jacob Scavazzo was ranked 30th by BA and David Hood coming into this season. The left fielder is repeating this league and not even doing as well as his mediocre 2016. Doesn’t look good for him.
Name              Age  PA 2B HR SB CS   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
Tim Locastro       24 419 21  8 22  5 .285 .366 .429  .795
Jose Fernandez*    29 369 16 16  0  2 .306 .366 .498  .864
Matt Beaty*        24 354 21 13  3  3 .309 .379 .505  .883
Edwin Rios*        23 332 21 15  1  1 .317 .358 .533  .891
Erick Mejia#       22 279 10  4 18  4 .302 .367 .416  .784
Jacob Scavuzzo     23 267 11 14  1  1 .226 .266 .440  .705
Johan Mieses       21 224  5 10  0  0 .133 .214 .305  .520
Wynston Sawyer     25 201 14  4  1  2 .277 .333 .429  .763
Kyle Garlick       25 189  8 12  1  0 .259 .317 .511  .829
Paul Hoenecke*     26 184 11  7  1  0 .220 .255 .405  .660
Kyle Farmer        26 141  7  3  1  0 .339 .411 .468  .879
Errol Robinson     22 139  4  1  5  3 .293 .367 .366  .733
Michael Ahmed      25 120  5  6  4  2 .292 .367 .509  .876
Henry Ramos#       25 101  4  5  1  0 .416 .465 .652 1.117
Peter OBrien       26  98  6  6  0  0 .247 .347 .529  .876
Zach McKinstry*    22  45  1  0  0  0 .256 .356 .333  .689
Darien Tubbs       22  45  3  0  4  1 .289 .372 .368  .741
Will Smith         22   4  0  0  1  0 .500 .750 .500 1.250

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Looking at Fangraphs advanced stats we can see a few things.

  • Kyle Farmer had the best walk rate and one of the best strikeout rates.
  • Johan Mieses didn’t make much contact during his first attempt at AA. He was sent back to Rancho where he excelled for a few weeks and is now back with Tulsa. Interesting to see if they fixed his swing in Rancho or if it was just the level of competition.
  • Matt Beaty might be someone to keep an eye on.  Great contact skills with a bit of power.
Name / Age PA wOBA / wRC+ BB% K% ISO
Tim Locastro / 24 420 0.363 / 124 5.20% 13.30% 0.144
Jose Miguel Fernandez / 29 369 0.387 / 140 6.50% 8.90% 0.192
Matt Beaty / 24 354 0.395 / 145 9.00% 11.60% 0.196
Edwin Rios / 23 332 0.388 / 141 5.10% 20.80% 0.216
Erick Mejia / 22 279 0.355 / 118 9.00% 20.10% 0.114
Jacob Scavuzzo / 23 267 0.31 / 88 4.50% 28.80% 0.214
Johan Mieses / 21 224 0.236 / 38 7.60% 39.70% 0.172
Wynston Sawyer / 25 201 0.344 / 111 6.50% 20.90% 0.152
Kyle Garlick / 25 189 0.368 / 127 6.30% 28.60% 0.253
Paul Hoenecke / 26 184 0.293 / 77 3.80% 23.90% 0.185
Quincy Latimore / 28 166 0.295 / 78 3.00% 20.50% 0.097
Kyle Farmer / 26 141 0.397 / 146 11.30% 9.20% 0.129
Errol Robinson / 22 139 0.34 / 108 10.10% 18.00% 0.073
Michael Ahmed / 25 120 0.39 / 142 10.80% 29.20% 0.217
Henry Ramos / 25 101 0.488 / 208 9.90% 14.90% 0.236
Stetson Allie / 26 99 0.287 / 72 9.10% 41.40% 0.125
Peter O’Brien / 26 98 0.389 / 141 12.20% 41.80% 0.282
Blake Gailen / 32 88 0.383 / 137 8.00% 15.90% 0.21
Garrett Kennedy / 24 50 0.316 / 92 14.00% 20.00% 0.175
Tyler Holt / 28 47 0.228 / 33 12.80% 29.80% 0
Darien Tubbs / 22 45 0.345 / 112 8.90% 13.30% 0.079
Zach McKinstry / 22 45 0.306 / 85 13.30% 17.80% 0.077
Jack Murphy / 29 27 0.216 / 24 11.10% 22.20% 0
Logan Landon / 24 21 0.319 / 94 0.00% 9.50% 0.143
Brayan Morales / 21 19 0.233 / 36 5.30% 26.30% 0.118

Pitchers:

  • The top pitching prospect Walker Buehler was promoted to AAA after showing off in Tulsa.
  • Scott Barlow was also promoted to AAA after being the best pitcher on the Tulsa staff. Barlow has been lit up in AAA so far.
  • Yaisel Sierra followed Barlow and Buehler to AAA where he’s trying to make a case to be part of the Dodger bullpen.
  • Edward Paredes had better luck than Sierra in making his case to be part of the Dodger bullpen. Parades pitched briefly for AAA before the Dodgers called him up. While in Tulsa, Parades excelled.
  • Sborz and Sopko were both ranked in the BA top 30 and David Hood top 30 but both haven’t shown they will be in the Dodger future as starters.
  • Just showing up are Yadier Alvarez, Mitch White, and Dennis Santana. All three have the potential to be major league starters.

 

Name               Age  ERA   IP BB SO  WHIP   H9  BB9  SO9 SO/W
Josh Sborz          23 3.80 90.0 46 58 1.411  8.1  4.6  5.8 1.26
Scott Barlow        24 2.02 75.2 29 87 0.952  5.1  3.4 10.3 3.00
Andrew Sopko        22 4.40 71.2 39 46 1.549  9.0  4.9  5.8 1.18
Colt Hynes*         32 3.70 56.0 12 42 1.321 10.0  1.9  6.8 3.50
Corey Copping       23 3.17 54.0 26 48 1.185  6.3  4.3  8.0 1.85
Karch Kowalczyk     26 2.88 50.0 17 39 1.360  9.2  3.1  7.0 2.29
Yaisel Sierra       26 2.54 49.2 16 64 1.268  8.5  2.9 11.6 4.00
Walker Buehler      22 3.49 49.0 15 64 1.122  7.3  2.8 11.8 4.27
Michael Johnson*    26 2.96 48.2 22 56 1.212  6.8  4.1 10.4 2.55
Tim Shibuya         27 1.74 46.2  5 22 0.879  6.9  1.0  4.2 4.40
Isaac Anderson      23 8.74 45.1 19 32 1.831 12.7  3.8  6.4 1.68
Ralston Cash        25 5.28 44.1 17 61 1.534 10.4  3.5 12.4 3.59
Ivan Vieitez        24 4.97 38.0 19 21 1.658 10.4  4.5  5.0 1.11
Shea Spitzbarth     22 2.41 37.1 16 31 1.286  7.7  3.9  7.5 1.94
Edward Paredes*     30 2.81 32.0 12 45 1.406  9.3  3.4 12.7 3.75
David Hale          29 3.52 23.0  5 16 1.478 11.3  2.0  6.3 3.20
Eddie Gamboa        32 2.14 21.0  9 17 1.095  6.0  3.9  7.3 1.89
Layne Somsen        28 2.08 13.0 11 10 2.231 12.5  7.6  6.9 0.91
Dennis Santana      21 4.09 11.0  8  9 1.364  5.7  6.5  7.4 1.13
Yadier Alvarez      21 3.12  8.2 10 10 2.538 12.5 10.4 10.4 1.00
Mitchell White      22 3.86  7.0  4  3 1.286  6.4  5.1  3.9 0.75

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Looking at the advanced metrics from Fangraphs:

Barlow had the metrics, great K%, great walk%, and his BA against was tiny.  There was good reason to think he had taken a big step up until he was faced AAA hitting.

Those metrics show why Walker Buehler is the best pitching prospect. Sierra can match the metrics but he’s doing it a one inning pitcher. Course Walker is only doing it as a 4 or 5 inning pitcher.

Name / Age IP K% BB% K-BB% AVG
Josh Sborz / 23 90 14.80% 11.80% 3.10% 0.237
Andrew Sopko / 22 76.2 15.10% 11.60% 3.50% 0.255
Scott Barlow / 24 75.2 29.50% 9.80% 19.70% 0.163
Colt Hynes / 32 56 17.40% 5.00% 12.50% 0.274
Corey Copping / 23 55 21.50% 11.40% 10.10% 0.19
Karch Kowalczyk / 26 50 18.20% 7.90% 10.30% 0.26
Yaisel Sierra / 26 49.2 30.30% 7.60% 22.80% 0.242
Walker Buehler / 22 49 32.80% 7.70% 25.10% 0.222
Michael Johnson / 26 48.2 26.80% 10.50% 16.30% 0.199
Tim Shibuya / 27 46.2 12.20% 2.80% 9.40% 0.207
Isaac Anderson / 23 45.1 14.40% 8.50% 5.80% 0.323
Ralston Cash / 25 44.1 29.90% 8.30% 21.60% 0.276
Ivan Vieitez / 24 38 12.30% 11.10% 1.20% 0.29
Shea Spitzbarth / 22 37.1 19.10% 9.90% 9.30% 0.219
Edward Paredes / 30 32 32.10% 8.60% 23.60% 0.268
Chris Rearick / 29 23.1 17.30% 9.10% 8.20% 0.327
David Hale / 29 23 15.50% 4.90% 10.70% 0.302
Eddie Gamboa / 32 21 19.80% 10.50% 9.30% 0.192
Layne Somsen / 28 15.2 15.00% 15.00% 0.00% 0.279
Jeremy Bleich / 30 11.2 16.70% 9.30% 7.40% 0.347
Dennis Santana / 21 11 19.20% 17.00% 2.10% 0.184
Yadier Alvarez / 21 8.2 20.80% 20.80% 0.00% 0.324
Andrew Thurman / 25 8.1 12.80% 18.00% -5.10% 0.226

Kenta and Ryu add to their game score leaderboards

Kenta Maeda put up a game score of 78 last night and if you happen to think that was one of his best games ever, you’d be correct. It was the second best game of his career using game score as the criteria.

Date         Opp   Rslt  IP H ER BB SO GSc
2016-07-10   SDP  W 3-1 7.0 2  1  0 13  82
2017-08-01   ATL  W 3-2 7.0 2  0  1  6  78
2017-06-27   LAA  W 4-0 7.0 4  0  0  6  75
2016-04-23   COL  W 4-1 6.1 3  0  1  8  74
2017-05-10   PIT  W 5-2 8.1 5  2  0  5  70
2016-09-05   ARI W 10-2 6.1 3  1  1  8  70
2016-04-17   SFG  W 3-1 7.0 4  1  3  7  69

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/2/2017.

Ryu pitched a gem last Sunday matching Bumgarner pitch for pitch. Ryu had a game score of 73, which was his 7th best game score but the first time he had cracked a game score of 70 since August 31st, 2014. I don’t think many were betting on Ryu to

  1. Be in the rotation in late July
  2. Have over  80 successful innings under his belt
  3. Clock in a game score over 70

What if the best is yet to come for Ryu?

Date         Opp  Rslt  IP H ER BB SO GSc
2013-05-28   LAA W 3-0 9.0 2  0  0  7  90
2014-04-11   ARI W 6-0 7.0 2  0  1  8  80
2014-07-13   SDP W 1-0 6.0 2  0  0 10  78
2013-07-27   CIN W 4-1 7.0 2  1  1  9  77
2014-08-07   LAA W 7-0 7.0 2  0  1  4  76
2014-03-30   SDP L 1-3 7.0 3  0  3  7  75
2017-07-30   SFG W 3-2 7.0 5  0  1  7  73
2013-09-16   ARI L 1-2 8.0 2  2  1  4  73
2014-08-31   SDP W 7-1 7.0 4  1  0  7  72
2013-08-08   STL W 5-1 7.0 5  0  0  7  72
2013-04-25   NYM W 3-2 7.0 3  1  3  8  72
2014-04-17   SFG W 2-1 7.0 4  0  1  3  71
2013-09-24   SFG W 2-1 7.0 4  1  1  6  70

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/2/2017.

Chasing Piazza / Robinson / Green / McGwire with number 29

With that blast tonight, Cody is still way in front of the Piazza pace, somewhat in front of the Frank Robinson pace, almost right on the Shawn Green pace, but still way behind the McGwire pace.  Should be noted that since both Green and McGwire hit 49 home runs, Shawn Green would hit 19 home runs over the final two months compared to only 12 for McGwire.

Player PA HR HR/PA Aug 1st Total Leader Year
Mike Piazza 531 29 18.31 21 35 LAD Rookie HR 1993
Frank Robinson 505 29 17.41 24 38 NL Rookie HR 1956
Mark McGwire 302 29 10.41 37 49 AL Rookie HR 1987
Shawn Green 443 29 15.28 30 49 LAD All time HR 2001
Cody Bellinger 334 29 11.52 29 ??? Chasing 2017

f this confusing here is a quick legend.

PA – this is the number of plate appearances it took for each player to reach 29 home runs. We used 20 home runs because that is where Bellinger is right now. This would be within 4 PA of accuracy as I didn’t check the game log for the specific plate appearance they hit the home run.

HR – This is a marker showing you 29 home runs.

HR/PA – this is the home runs per plate appearance pace when they each hit their 29th home run.

Total HR through August 1st

Total – season home run total

Leader – this is why they are on the list. For example Mike Piazza is the LAD Rookie Home Run Leader

Year – this is the year they accomplished the home run record that Cody Bellinger is chasing