A+ – Rancho July Stat Snapshot & Review

Hitters:

  • Top ten prospect Yusniel Diaz was just promoted to AA Tulsa. At 20 Diaz is having a solid season but nothing stands out. He is more about the scouting tools than actual production but we do have to remember he’s 20, even though he repeated the league.
  • 2016 first round pick Will Smith was also promoted to AA Tulsa. As a catcher, Smith doesn’t need the hit tool as much as Diaz. Smith stands out with his plate discipline carrying a .352 OBP even with a BA at .232. A nice 120 point spread.
  • Drew Jackson is finally at AA. Drew repeated this league after being acquired from the Marines for Chase De Jong.  At 23 I expected more from a top 10 – 20 prospect repeating this type of league. I’m not seeing anything that would suggest he’s any better than Errol Robinson or the just traded Brendon Davis.
  • Luke Raley is doing what he can to put himself on the prospect map and appears to be succeeding.  It does appear he has passed Scavuzzo on the prospect ladder but once he hits AA, that will determine if he keeps climbing or starts sliding.
  • DJ Peters has been the hitting star for Rancho. Power/Patience, you can’t beat it for a CF.
  • Ariel Sandoval is easily the biggest disappointment on this team. Maybe in the whole system when you consider the expectations that David Hood put on him.
  • I told you in the Tulsa overview how bad Johan Mieses had been for Tulsa and how good he had been in Rancho. Now you can see the numbers. Johan went into beast mode for Rancho and after 100 PA is back with Tulsa hoping to keep the bat going.
  • Should we talk about Keibert Ruiz or are you sick of him? 1.150 OPS. Never expected that and I was his biggest fan.  Guess California really agrees with him.
Name                  Age   PA  2B   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
DJ Peters              21  448  22 .283 .386 .541  .927
Luke Raley*            22  424  15 .284 .368 .466  .834
Ibandel Isabel         22  381  10 .256 .323 .483  .805
Omar Estevez           19  371  19 .243 .304 .344  .649
Yusniel Diaz           20  374  15 .278 .343 .414  .757
Drew Jackson           23  297  16 .254 .367 .429  .796
Will Smith             22  305  15 .232 .355 .448  .803
Brandon Montgomery     21  243  12 .248 .277 .323  .600
Zach McKinstry*        22  226   8 .232 .307 .315  .622
Ariel Sandoval         21  162   4 .190 .265 .320  .585
James Kennedy*         24  149   8 .264 .362 .419  .781
Victor Roache          25  128   8 .202 .258 .437  .695
Johan Mieses           21  129  17 .353 .411 .707 1.118
Erick Mejia#           22   97   4 .230 .292 .333  .625
Errol Robinson         22   76   4 .286 .342 .514  .856
Jared Walker*          21   77   4 .224 .325 .328  .653
Logan Landon           24   67   4 .276 .364 .500  .864
Keibert Ruiz#          18   60   4 .375 .400 .750 1.150
28 Players           21.6 4164 195 .260 .339 .437  .777

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Now, lets take a look at the advanced metrics via Fangraphs:

  • K% for DJ Peters is certainly worrisome, but how about that ISO and double digit BB%?
  • Keibert Ruiz has a K% below 10 and an ISO over .300. WAT
  • Will Smith looks good across the board.
Name / Age PA BB% K% wOBA / wRC+ ISO
DJ Peters / 21 455 11.40% 31.40% 0.404 / 148 0.253
Luke Raley / 22 424 7.80% 23.10% 0.371 / 127 0.182
Ibandel Isabel / 22 386 8.00% 35.00% 0.351 / 114 0.227
Omar Estevez / 19 376 7.40% 20.20% 0.298 / 79 0.099
Yusniel Diaz / 20 374 9.40% 19.50% 0.338 / 105 0.136
Will Smith / 22 305 12.10% 23.30% 0.358 / 118 0.216
Drew Jackson / 23 298 11.40% 22.50% 0.359 / 119 0.175
Brandon Montgomery / 21 243 4.10% 16.50% 0.269 / 60 0.075
Zach McKinstry / 22 232 9.10% 25.90% 0.288 / 72 0.082
Ariel Sandoval / 21 167 8.40% 36.50% 0.265 / 57 0.125
Garrett Kennedy / 24 149 10.70% 26.80% 0.354 / 116 0.155
Johan Mieses / 21 129 7.80% 29.50% 0.472 / 192 0.353
Victor Roache / 25 128 7.00% 42.20% 0.302 / 81 0.235
Erick Mejia / 22 97 8.20% 19.60% 0.283 / 69 0.103
Jared Walker / 21 77 13.00% 45.50% 0.298 / 79 0.104
Errol Robinson / 22 76 6.60% 22.40% 0.372 / 127 0.229
Logan Landon / 24 67 11.90% 16.40% 0.38 / 133 0.224
Keibert Ruiz / 18 66 6.10% 7.60% 0.471 / 192 0.35
Brendon Davis / 19 33 9.10% 39.40% 0.298 / 79 0.2

Pitchers:

  • Probably being overly optimistic but a lot of great minor league pitchers seem to be flowing through Rancho this year. Alvarez, Santana, White, Buehler are all already in AA with Walker going one extra rung to AAA. Ferguson and Smeltzer are both being successful while being young for the league. Lots to like here.
  • In looking at the numbers you’d never guess that Yadier Alvarez was the top pitching prospect headed into the season and that Dennis Santana couldn’t find his way onto most top 30 LAD prospect lists.
  • Caleb Ferguson is having a solid season for a 20-year-old in the tough hitting league and had an exceptional game last night to start August off right.

 

Name              Age   ERA GS   IP  WHIP HR9 BB9  SO9 SO/W
Adam Bray          24  3.51 14 97.1 1.110 1.4 1.8  8.8 5.00
Caleb Ferguson*    20  2.92 19 95.2 1.359 0.5 4.2  9.3 2.20
Dennis Santana     21  3.57 14 85.2 1.272 0.5 2.3  9.7 4.18
Dean Kremer        21  5.45  6 66.0 1.485 0.7 3.5 10.5 2.96
Devin Smeltzer*    21  4.72 11 61.0 1.443 1.0 1.5 10.6 7.20
Yadier Alvarez     21  5.31 11 59.1 1.449 0.5 3.8  9.3 2.44
Andrew Istler      24  3.16  0 51.1 1.266 0.5 2.1  9.5 4.50
Tony Gonsolin      23  4.79  0 47.0 1.362 0.8 2.7 10.0 3.71
Alex Hermeling     24  1.83  0 44.1 1.015 0.6 2.2  7.7 3.45
Mitchell White     22  3.72  9 38.2 1.086 0.0 3.7 11.4 3.06
Michael Boyle*     23  4.65  2 31.0 1.419 0.6 2.9  7.3 2.50
Parker Curry       23  4.06  0 31.0 1.387 0.3 2.9 12.2 4.20
Ryan Moseley       22  3.26  3 30.1 1.385 0.0 5.0  5.9 1.18
Chris Powell       24  4.50  0 28.0 1.321 1.0 1.6  9.6 6.00
Andrew Thurman     25  0.00  3 18.2 0.750 0.0 1.4  7.7 5.33
Walker Buehler     22  1.10  5 16.1 0.796 0.0 2.8 14.9 5.40
Shea Spitzbarth    22  0.57  0 15.2 0.894 0.0 2.9 15.5 5.40
Daniel Corcino     26  4.26  0 12.2 1.579 0.7 2.8  9.2 3.25
Kevin Brown        25  7.30  0 12.1 2.108 0.7 5.8 10.9 1.88
Wes Helsabeck*     24  1.59  0 11.1 1.324 0.0 5.6 15.1 2.71
Isaac Anderson     23 10.13  1 10.2 1.875 0.0 3.4  7.6 2.25
Sven Schueller     21  4.50  0 10.0 1.600 0.9 6.3  4.5 0.71

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Taking a look at the advanced pitching metrics from Fangraphs:

  • No wonder I like Dennis Santana. For a guy who they say doesn’t have the command he sure looks like he has command.
  • You can see that the one bugaboo for Caleb Ferguson is his command, the K% is solid.
  • Mitch White and Walker Buehler are hard to hit.
  • Smeltzer has the lowest BB% on the team and a nice K% but when they make contact they almost put up a .300 BA.
  • Nothing stands out for Yadier Alveraz here, so, for now, it is all about scouting.
Name / Age IP K% BB% K-BB% AVG
Adam Bray / 24 97.1 23.90% 4.80% 19.10% 0.236
Caleb Ferguson / 20 95.2 24.20% 11.00% 13.20% 0.237
Dennis Santana / 21 85.2 24.70% 5.90% 18.80% 0.257
Dean Kremer / 21 66 26.20% 8.80% 17.40% 0.272
Devin Smeltzer / 21 61 26.40% 3.70% 22.70% 0.299
Yadier Alvarez / 21 59.1 23.30% 9.50% 13.70% 0.257
Andrew Istler / 24 51.1 26.00% 5.80% 20.20% 0.272
Tony Gonsolin / 23 47 26.30% 7.10% 19.20% 0.272
Alex Hermeling / 24 44.1 21.40% 6.20% 15.20% 0.207
Mitchell White / 22 38.2 30.80% 10.10% 20.80% 0.186
Parker Curry / 23 31 30.90% 7.40% 23.50% 0.264
Michael Boyle / 23 31 18.70% 7.50% 11.20% 0.276
Ryan Moseley / 22 30.1 16.10% 13.70% 2.40% 0.236
Chris Powell / 24 28 24.40% 4.10% 20.30% 0.276
Andrew Thurman / 25 18.2 23.50% 4.40% 19.10% 0.169
Walker Buehler / 22 16.1 42.90% 7.90% 34.90% 0.14
Shea Spitzbarth / 22 15.2 45.00% 8.30% 36.70% 0.164

 

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