AA – Tulsa July Stat Snapshot & Review

Phil Gurnee ♦ August 2, 2017 ♦ Leave a comment

Hitters:

• Two of the main prospects Edwin Rios and Kyle Farmer are already gone. Farmer hit AAA on his way to become a folk hero in Los Angeles. Edwin Rios is in AAA and doing what he does best. Hit.
• The other main prospect is Will Smith but he got hurt as soon as he arrived so he’s just a tiny footnote for now.
• Four infielders are trying to make their case to be the next major league utility infielder. Jose Fernandez, Errol Robinson, Tim Locastro, and Erick Mejia. I’d probably bet on on Errol Robinson.
• Henry Ramos crushed it during his time here, and just got promoted to AAA where he went 4 for 4 in his OKC debut. Ramos has never hit like this so I don’t know what to make of him.
• The power hitting Peter O’Brien just couldn’t get it going and has been optioned off the 40 man roster. O’Brien has 128 minor league home runs but didn’t hit many here.
• Jacob Scavazzo was ranked 30th by BA and David Hood coming into this season. The left fielder is repeating this league and not even doing as well as his mediocre 2016. Doesn’t look good for him.

Name              Age  PA 2B HR SB CS   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
Tim Locastro       24 419 21  8 22  5 .285 .366 .429  .795
Jose Fernandez*    29 369 16 16  0  2 .306 .366 .498  .864
Matt Beaty*        24 354 21 13  3  3 .309 .379 .505  .883
Edwin Rios*        23 332 21 15  1  1 .317 .358 .533  .891
Erick Mejia#       22 279 10  4 18  4 .302 .367 .416  .784
Jacob Scavuzzo     23 267 11 14  1  1 .226 .266 .440  .705
Johan Mieses       21 224  5 10  0  0 .133 .214 .305  .520
Wynston Sawyer     25 201 14  4  1  2 .277 .333 .429  .763
Kyle Garlick       25 189  8 12  1  0 .259 .317 .511  .829
Paul Hoenecke*     26 184 11  7  1  0 .220 .255 .405  .660
Kyle Farmer        26 141  7  3  1  0 .339 .411 .468  .879
Errol Robinson     22 139  4  1  5  3 .293 .367 .366  .733
Michael Ahmed      25 120  5  6  4  2 .292 .367 .509  .876
Henry Ramos#       25 101  4  5  1  0 .416 .465 .652 1.117
Peter OBrien       26  98  6  6  0  0 .247 .347 .529  .876
Zach McKinstry*    22  45  1  0  0  0 .256 .356 .333  .689
Darien Tubbs       22  45  3  0  4  1 .289 .372 .368  .741
Will Smith         22   4  0  0  1  0 .500 .750 .500 1.250

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Looking at Fangraphs advanced stats we can see a few things.

• Kyle Farmer had the best walk rate and one of the best strikeout rates.
• Johan Mieses didn’t make much contact during his first attempt at AA. He was sent back to Rancho where he excelled for a few weeks and is now back with Tulsa. Interesting to see if they fixed his swing in Rancho or if it was just the level of competition.
• Matt Beaty might be someone to keep an eye on.  Great contact skills with a bit of power.

Pitchers:

• The top pitching prospect Walker Buehler was promoted to AAA after showing off in Tulsa.
• Scott Barlow was also promoted to AAA after being the best pitcher on the Tulsa staff. Barlow has been lit up in AAA so far.
• Yaisel Sierra followed Barlow and Buehler to AAA where he’s trying to make a case to be part of the Dodger bullpen.
• Edward Paredes had better luck than Sierra in making his case to be part of the Dodger bullpen. Parades pitched briefly for AAA before the Dodgers called him up. While in Tulsa, Parades excelled.
• Sborz and Sopko were both ranked in the BA top 30 and David Hood top 30 but both haven’t shown they will be in the Dodger future as starters.
• Just showing up are Yadier Alvarez, Mitch White, and Dennis Santana. All three have the potential to be major league starters.

Name               Age  ERA   IP BB SO  WHIP   H9  BB9  SO9 SO/W
Josh Sborz          23 3.80 90.0 46 58 1.411  8.1  4.6  5.8 1.26
Scott Barlow        24 2.02 75.2 29 87 0.952  5.1  3.4 10.3 3.00
Andrew Sopko        22 4.40 71.2 39 46 1.549  9.0  4.9  5.8 1.18
Colt Hynes*         32 3.70 56.0 12 42 1.321 10.0  1.9  6.8 3.50
Corey Copping       23 3.17 54.0 26 48 1.185  6.3  4.3  8.0 1.85
Karch Kowalczyk     26 2.88 50.0 17 39 1.360  9.2  3.1  7.0 2.29
Yaisel Sierra       26 2.54 49.2 16 64 1.268  8.5  2.9 11.6 4.00
Walker Buehler      22 3.49 49.0 15 64 1.122  7.3  2.8 11.8 4.27
Michael Johnson*    26 2.96 48.2 22 56 1.212  6.8  4.1 10.4 2.55
Tim Shibuya         27 1.74 46.2  5 22 0.879  6.9  1.0  4.2 4.40
Isaac Anderson      23 8.74 45.1 19 32 1.831 12.7  3.8  6.4 1.68
Ralston Cash        25 5.28 44.1 17 61 1.534 10.4  3.5 12.4 3.59
Ivan Vieitez        24 4.97 38.0 19 21 1.658 10.4  4.5  5.0 1.11
Shea Spitzbarth     22 2.41 37.1 16 31 1.286  7.7  3.9  7.5 1.94
Edward Paredes*     30 2.81 32.0 12 45 1.406  9.3  3.4 12.7 3.75
David Hale          29 3.52 23.0  5 16 1.478 11.3  2.0  6.3 3.20
Eddie Gamboa        32 2.14 21.0  9 17 1.095  6.0  3.9  7.3 1.89
Layne Somsen        28 2.08 13.0 11 10 2.231 12.5  7.6  6.9 0.91
Dennis Santana      21 4.09 11.0  8  9 1.364  5.7  6.5  7.4 1.13
Yadier Alvarez      21 3.12  8.2 10 10 2.538 12.5 10.4 10.4 1.00
Mitchell White      22 3.86  7.0  4  3 1.286  6.4  5.1  3.9 0.75

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/1/2017.

Looking at the advanced metrics from Fangraphs:

Barlow had the metrics, great K%, great walk%, and his BA against was tiny.  There was good reason to think he had taken a big step up until he was faced AAA hitting.

Those metrics show why Walker Buehler is the best pitching prospect. Sierra can match the metrics but he’s doing it a one inning pitcher. Course Walker is only doing it as a 4 or 5 inning pitcher.