1992 ROY Eric Karros was more than just great hair

erickarrosrookieoftheyear

When Eric Karros won the 1992 Rookie of the Year award he was the first and only LAD first baseman to win the award. The only other rookie LAD 1st baseman to ever get any votes were Greg Brock in 1983 and James Loney in 2007. Brock came in 7th place and James Loney came in 6th place.

Cody Bellinger will be changing that dynamic in a few weeks when he wins the 2017 National League Rookie of the Year award.

I remember Eric bashing home runs in the minor leagues but not getting much respect from the prospect touting world. Much like Mike Piazza in 1993 he would have to prove he deserved to be a starting major league player.  Pre 1990 he was ranked 84th, and was dropped to 94th in pre-1991, and had dropped off the lists by 1992.

Dodger Historian Mark Langill gives us the scoop on how Eric Karros won the starting job in 1992.

On May 23, the Dodgers trailed the Pirates 4–1 in the bottom of the ninth when Benzinger started a rally with a leadoff single. After a wild pitch, an RBI single by Mike Scioscia made it 4–2. Karros eventually came off the bench to face Pittsburgh closer Stan Belinda with one out and runners on second and third. When Karros hit a three-run home run into the Left Field Pavilion, it touched off more than a celebration after the 5–4 victory.

Lasorda returned Karros to the starting lineup and moved Benzinger to right field. Daniels, the Opening Day starter at first base, hit .231 in 35 games before he was traded to the Chicago Cubs on June 27. Benzinger spent only one season with the Dodgers, batting .239 in 121 games with four home runs and 31 RBI.

When you review the vote in 1992 it does not look like Karros deserved to win the Rookie of the Year award. Eric won easily but Moises Alou and Reggie Sanders had much better seasons. Eric won because he hit 20 home runs and drove in 88 runs. The baseball card stats won the day for Karros.

                          Voti      Voti       Voti
Name               Tm Vote Pts 1st Place Share  WAR
Eric Karros       LAD    116.0      22.0   97%  0.4
Moises Alou       MON     30.0       0.0   25%  2.5
Tim Wakefield     PIT     29.0       2.0   24%  2.1
Reggie Sanders    CIN     23.0       0.0   19%  2.5
Donovan Osborne   STL     12.0       0.0   10% -0.2
Mike Perez        STL      2.0       0.0    2%  2.2
Ben Rivera        TOT      1.0       0.0    1%  2.6
Frank Seminara    SDP      1.0       0.0    1%  0.2
Brian Williams    HOU      1.0       0.0    1%  0.3
Mark Wohlers      ATL      1.0       0.0    1%  0.6

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/19/2017.

While Karros may not have deserved the ROY in 1992 he ended up having a very lengthy Dodger career and currently holds the record for most home runs. Only three LAD have hit at least 200 home runs.

Player          HR From   To   Age   PA  OPS
Eric Karros    270 1991 2002 23-34 6624 .782
Ron Cey        228 1971 1982 23-34 6108 .804
Steve Garvey   211 1969 1982 20-33 7027 .796

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/19/2017.

He is also 2nd in runs batted in.

Player         RBI From   To   Age   PA  OPS
Steve Garvey   992 1969 1982 20-33 7027 .796
Eric Karros    976 1991 2002 23-34 6624 .782
Willie Davis   849 1960 1973 20-33 8035 .725
Ron Cey        842 1971 1982 23-34 6108 .804

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/19/2017.

Karros was also 4th in doubles in 302, and fifth in hits with 1608,  and sixth in runs scored with 752. Yup, Eric Karros dominates the LAD cumulative leaderboards in the baseball card categories.
He does not fare so well in modern bWAR. His 11.4 bWAR ranks 39th all-time for the LAD.

Rk            Player WAR/pos From   To   Age   PA
1       Willie Davis    54.4 1960 1973 20-33 8035
2            Ron Cey    47.5 1971 1982 23-34 6108
3       Steve Garvey    36.4 1969 1982 20-33 7027
4     Pedro Guerrero    32.8 1978 1988 22-32 4089
5        Davey Lopes    32.1 1972 1981 27-36 5308
6        Mike Piazza    31.9 1992 1998 23-29 3017
7        Maury Wills    31.9 1959 1972 26-39 6745
8       Bill Russell    31.5 1969 1986 20-37 8021
9      Mike Scioscia    26.2 1980 1992 21-33 5057
10     Adrian Beltre    23.4 1998 2004 19-25 3818
11       Jim Gilliam    23.4 1958 1966 29-37 4894
12        Wes Parker    22.9 1964 1972 24-32 4835
13     John Roseboro    22.3 1958 1967 25-34 4505
14      Andre Ethier    21.8 2006 2017 24-35 5409
15      Raul Mondesi    21.4 1993 1999 22-28 3765
16         Matt Kemp    21.1 2006 2014 21-29 4496
17       Shawn Green    20.8 2000 2004 27-31 3462
18       Dusty Baker    19.9 1976 1983 27-34 4552
19   Willie Crawford    19.9 1964 1975 17-28 3199
20      Reggie Smith    19.3 1976 1981 31-36 2055
21     Justin Turner    18.6 2014 2017 29-32 1898
22      Steve Yeager    17.8 1972 1985 23-36 3869
23      Jim Lefebvre    17.2 1965 1972 23-30 3417
24    Gary Sheffield    17.1 1998 2001 29-32 2276
25       Yasiel Puig    16.3 2013 2017 22-26 2291
26       Tommy Davis    16.3 1959 1966 20-27 3216
27    Russell Martin    15.9 2006 2010 23-27 2713
28         Steve Sax    15.9 1981 1988 21-28 4745
29     Rafael Furcal    15.4 2006 2011 28-33 2803
30      Brett Butler    15.0 1991 1997 34-40 3342
31      Joe Ferguson    14.2 1970 1981 23-34 2525
32      Paul Lo Duca    13.8 1998 2004 26-32 2361
33   Adrian Gonzalez    13.1 2012 2017 30-35 2980
34      Corey Seager    12.9 2015 2017 21-23 1368
35        Ron Fairly    12.9 1958 1969 19-30 4529
36        Wally Moon    12.7 1959 1965 29-35 2657
37          Jim Wynn    12.4 1974 1975 32-33 1185
38        Manny Mota    11.6 1969 1982 31-44 2187
39       Eric Karros    11.4 1991 2002 23-34 6624
40      Frank Howard    10.8 1958 1964 21-27 2321
41        Tom Haller    10.2 1968 1971 31-34 1637
42     Mike Marshall    10.1 1981 1989 21-29 3546

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/19/2017.

Ryu makes case for postseason

by pitching another scoreless game on Sunday Night TV. Granted he only got 14 outs, and he needed help from Ross Stripling to get out of a jam in the 5th, but he looked good during the time he was on the mound.

As much as I’d like a Dodger like Orel to hold the scoreless streak I did think it was bullshit that an error was not called on the play by Michael Taylor and that run should have been unearned.  It hit the heal of his glove, the heal, that is a big deal.

Walker Buehler continues to flash his great stuff but also continues to get hit and has now given up at least one run in each of his last three appearances after the brilliant two-inning debut.

Dave Roberts keeps saying that whoever is not going to be part of the postseason rotation will start to pitch out of the bullpen to get them ready for that role. With two weeks left in the season isn’t it time he starts putting that plan into action?

I actually think Ryu can be just as effective as Wood out of the bullpen so I would not automatically put Wood in the bullpen just because he’s done it before.   I don’t trust Wood as much as I trust Ryu for an October game so I’d probably go with Ryu. It will be interesting what they decide.

Bellinger should leave Philadelphia with at least forty home runs.

It was nice to hear the ESPN crew fawning over the defense of Puig. He deserves it.

The Dodgers could have left Segedin/Dickson/Culberson off the Sept roster and no one would have noticed.

I’m just as uneasy about the middle relief in 2017 headed into October as I’ve been each of the past four seasons but I’m very comfortable with Morrow / KJ for the 8th and 9th. I’m almost there with Cingrani.

Dennis Santana can’t do it all

The Tulsa Drillers lost postseason games in a row and the championship but you can’t blame Dennis Santana who threw six innings, giving up just one unearned run as the Drillers lost 1 – 0.  This game capped an outstanding season by Santana who came into the season as a sleeper prospect but completely outpitched the number one prospect Yadier Alvarez at both levels all season long.  Yadier wilted in the postseason, Santana excelled.

League MVP Matt Beaty had three hits but no one could bring him home. DJ Peters and Keibert Ruiz were brought up from Rancho to help the offense but the two combined to go hitless in six at-bats.

Craig Minami has the breakdown of the final day of minor league play for Dodgers affiliates. 

 

2017 has been the year of the rookie 1st baseman

Dodger fans know all about Cody Bellinger hitting 38 home runs and tying the NL rookie record for home runs but there have been a plethora of 1st baseman in 2017 who are hitting home runs at a staggering pace.

Rhys Hoskins is much like Cody Bellinger in that he’s a 1st baseman who has played a lot of outfield in 2017. He is also hitting a home run every 8.83 plate appearances. That would extrapolate to 63 home runs if he kept up the pace for a whole year.  Cody was on his own crazy pace of a home run every ten plate appearances but as the season wears on adjustments happen and he now sits at 13.05. I would expect the same to happen to Hoskins if was to get 500 plate appearances.

The one name that has really popped up in the last month is Matt Olson. The A’s traded Yonder Alonso and Olson stepped right into the breach and seems to be hitting a home run every night. Matt has only 192 plate appearances but already has 21 home runs.  Oakland 1st baseman have hit 44 home runs this year, Alonso with 25 and Olson with 18, not sure who hit the other home run but not going to research it because it is not important.

In a normal year, Josh Bell would be a rookie of the year candidate, as he has been the starting 1st baseman for the Pirates all year long and has produced all year long.

Trey Mancini is another rookie who goes under the radar but has put up solid to great numbers all year for the Orioles.

Player Age Year HR PA HR/PA OPS Tm
Cody Bellinger 21 2017 38 496 13.05 0.962 LAD
Josh Bell 24 2017 24 576 24.00 0.806 PIT
Trey Mancini 25 2017 24 535 22.29 0.841 BAL
Matt Olson 23 2017 21 192 9.14 1.005 OAK
Rhys Hoskins 24 2017 18 159 8.83 1.152 PHI
Yuli Gurriel 33 2017 17 520 30.59 0.801 HOU
Jesus Aguilar 27 2017 14 293 20.93 0.829 MIL
Jose Martinez 28 2017 13 274 21.08 0.9 STL

In 2017 eight rookie 1st basemen hit 169 home runs who played at least 10% of their games at 1st base.

In 2016 only four players using the same criteria hit more than 10 home runs totaling only 62 home runs.

Player         HR Year Age  Tm  PA  OPS    Pos
Tommy Joseph   21 2016  24 PHI 347 .813    *3H
Jefry Marte    15 2016  25 LAA 284 .790 375H/D
Dae-ho Lee     14 2016  34 SEA 317 .740  *3H/D
ByungHo Park   12 2016  29 MIN 244 .684  *D3/H

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/18/2017.

In 2015 it was 84.

Three game set with Nationals not really a preview of NLCS

While the Dodgers have been throwing two of the pitchers expected to start in the postseason, Alex Wood and Rich Hill, the Nationals were not so accommodating throwing Edwin Jackson and Alex Cole, neither of whom will be pitching in the National rotation come October.

The Nationals are also missing possibly the best player in the NL in Bryce Harper. Still, it is always good to win two games on the road against the team trying to catch you for the best record in baseball. With those two victories against the Nationals, the Dodgers have put some extra length between them and the Nationals making it virtually impossible to blow the best record in the NL with so few games remaining.

Tonight the Dodgers get to see the hottest pitcher in baseball in Steven Strasburg. Strasburg came off the DL on August 19th and gave up two runs in six innings.  Both those runs came in his first inning of work, and those were the last runs he has given up in his last 34 innings.

Facing him will be Hyun-Jin Ryu who can’t compete with Strasburg on stuff but given that this is a Sunday Night matchup can match him on domination. Ryu has pitched twice on Sunday Night TV and both times was excellent. He has yet to give up a run on Sunday Night TV and his two best games scores of the year were by far on Sunday Night.

Ryu will try to make his case to be the fourth starter in the October rotation, and you can’t ask for a better audition than against the team you might be facing in October. Whatever happens tonight Ryu has come a long way from the pitcher that no one was counting on April 1st, 2017. Among a season of surprises,  his production has to rank at least 3rd behind Cody Bellinger and Chris Taylor.

Date DayofWeek Opp Rslt IP H ER BB SO GSc
7/30/2017 Sunday Night SFG W,3-2 7 5 0 1 7 73
8/6/2017 Sunday Night NYM W,8-0 7 1 0 0 8 83

Chase Utley joins the 400/200/100 club for 2nd baseman

With his two doubles today, Chase Utley now has 400 doubles in his career. Many second baseman have had 400 doubles, but not many have had

400 doubles

200 home runs

100 stolen bases

who have played at least 75% of their games at second base.

Player           WAR/pos  HR  2B  SB From   To    PA  OPS      Pos
Joe Morgan         100.4 268 449 689 1963 1984 11329 .819 *4H/7D58
Lou Whitaker        74.8 244 420 143 1977 1995  9967 .789    *4H/D
Ryne Sandberg       67.7 282 403 344 1981 1997  9282 .795  *45/H6D
Roberto Alomar      66.7 210 504 474 1988 2004 10400 .814   *4/HD6
Chase Utley         65.3 258 400 150 2003 2017  7651 .828  *4H/3D5

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/16/2017.

All HOF except Sweet Lou Whitaker and Chase who is still adding to his numbers. You can see why Sweet Lou is one of my favorites when people ask who is the best player not in the HOF?

Each of those players also has a world series ring except Ryne Sandberg.

If we lower the percentage threshold to 65% the great Roger Hornsby and Craig Biggio join the list.

Even at 50% nothing changes, which is far as I’ll go.

Catching Piazza, Catching Frank Robinson

A few minutes ago Cody Bellinger hit his 38th home run to catch Frank Robinson for the NL rookie record for home runs.  Frank Robinson hit his 38th home run on Sept 11th and would not hit another home run the rest of the year. Hopefully, the same fate does not await Cody Bellinger.  This record has stood for over 1/2 a century with some of the greatest home run hitters in baseball history taking a swing at it and coming up empty.

Next up, 40 and beyond

Player                      HR Year Age  Tm Lg  PA   OPS
Cody Bellinger              38 2017  21 LAD NL 489  .960

Frank Robinson (RoY-1st)    38 1956  20 CIN NL 667  .936
Wally Berger                38 1930  24 BSN NL 628  .990

Albert Pujols (RoY-1st)     37 2001  21 STL NL 676 1.013
Mike Piazza (RoY-1st)       35 1993  24 LAD NL 602  .932
Ryan Braun (RoY-1st)        34 2007  23 MIL NL 492 1.004
Earl Williams (RoY-1st)     33 1971  22 ATL NL 550  .815
Chris Young (RoY-4th)       32 2007  23 ARI NL 624  .763
Jim Ray Hart (RoY-2nd)      31 1964  22 SFG NL 625  .840
Willie Montanez (RoY-2nd)   30 1971  23 PHI NL 683  .798

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/16/2017.

Good thing the Phillies waited until August 10th to bring up Rhys Hoskins who has hit an astounding 18 home runs in his first 150 plate appearances.  Cody had twelve after his first 150 plate appearances. 

What a long strange trip it has been for Edwin Jackson

Once upon a time in Sept of 2003, Edwin Jackson shocked the baseball world by outpitching prime Randy Johnson on his 20th birthday. I started this article with the headline once I saw that Edwin Jackson was pitching tonight and was ready to research a fun story.

My first search was the big game just mentioned, and to my surprise, Edwin Jackson has already had a few articles written about him. I guess I should not have been surprised since he is pitching for the Washington Nationals these days and not the San Diego Padres. What made me laugh was that one article had the headline.

Edwin Jackson’s Long, Fascinating Road
That looks eerily similar to what I had decided to go with. Heck, no point in my doing any research,  Eric Nusbaum of Vice sports hits all the pertinent points

“If he stays healthy, he’s going to pitch up here a long time,” Brown said.

Brown was right. Jackson has pitched in the major leagues for a long time. Only one other player who appeared in his debut is still in the majors—that would be Adrian Beltre—and four players who appeared in that game have since gotten jobs as big league managers. But Jackson’s career has not necessarily gone the way his teammates might have expected after that auspicious debut. He has been traded six times. He has pitched for twelve teams. On Tuesday, he will start for the Washington Nationals in Anaheim. This will be his second stint with the Nationals and his second team of the 2017 season.

I guess you could say the air was let out of my ballon. I will simply add my personal sense to the debut game by Jackson. At the time the Dodgers had Jackson in the Majors for his debut and 18-year-old Greg Miller had already pitched in AA. I was really envisioning a Drysdale/Koufax for the 21st century. Miller never even got to the major leagues, and as was noted above, Edwin Jackson has defined journeyman pitcher in the 21st century.
What happened, however, doesn’t change how excited I was to watch Edwin match Randy Johnson pitch for pitch in his debut. It was one of the greatest pitching debut’s I’d seen by a Dodger given his age.  I’m as shocked as anyone that Edwin is still in the National rotation in Sept, but I’m also quite pleased about it.

Don’t forget about the World Champions

From May – August 26th the season has been about the Dodgers with the Cubs barely keeping in contact of the postseason.  The Dodgers are trying to fight off the Nationals for the best record in the NL but the team that no one should be sleeping on are the Cubs.

The offense is in high gear and it wasn’t just the Mets they beat up on.

39 runs in the past three games against the Met pitching but five times they have scored at least 14 runs since August 26th.

Kyle Schwarber is now doing what we expected him to do. He is not just a Sept darling he’s has been mashing since he came back from the minor leagues. Note to Joc, that is what you are supposed to do when you are a major league hitter and go back to AAA. Find your swing, return, and mash.

They are doing this with their two best hitters Rizzo and Bryant just paddling along, not quite doing their share of the rowing.

Player               Split Year   OPS PA HR   BA  OBP  SLG
Rene Rivera       Sept/Oct 2017 1.084 21  1 .368 .400 .684
Albert Almora     Sept/Oct 2017 1.042 24  2 .333 .333 .708
Kyle Schwarber    Sept/Oct 2017 1.029 29  2 .346 .414 .615
Javier Baez       Sept/Oct 2017  .896 43  2 .308 .357 .538
Ben Zobrist       Sept/Oct 2017  .889 45  0 .333 .444 .444
Anthony Rizzo     Sept/Oct 2017  .845 51  1 .286 .392 .452
Kris Bryant       Sept/Oct 2017  .792 56  1 .239 .357 .435
Jason Heyward     Sept/Oct 2017  .769 47  2 .262 .340 .429
Ian Happ          Sept/Oct 2017  .731 44  2 .231 .295 .436
Alex Avila        Sept/Oct 2017  .693 21  0 .188 .381 .313
Jon Jay           Sept/Oct 2017  .536 36  0 .219 .286 .250
Victor Caratini   Sept/Oct 2017  .425 10  0 .125 .300 .125
Tommy La Stella   Sept/Oct 2017  .259 16  0 .071 .188 .071

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/15/2017.

Dodgers need the return of the four horsemen

300px-Apocalypse_vasnetsov

Sure, this is obvious.

One of the horsemen was back but hardly anyone noticed because the team kept losing. The second one joined him this week and it directly resulted in two victories for the Dodgers. If they hope to have any chance in October it would behoove the other two horsemen to join Bellinger/Turner and make a charge to break through the thorny walls of October that have eluded many other stacked Dodger teams in the 21st century.

For most of this summer, the Dodgers had four qualified MVP candidates.  They were so good it was ridiculous out productive the first four hitters were night after night. That all ended on August 27th, but for the Dodgers to have a shot in October they need the four horsemen to provide something close to the kind of production they had provided from April 1st – August 27th.

This is what the four have done in Sept.

Player              Split Year HR PA   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
Cody Bellinger   Sept/Oct 2017  3 56 .286 .375 .612  .987
Justin Turner    Sept/Oct 2017  2 51 .318 .412 .591 1.003
Chris Taylor     Sept/Oct 2017  1 53 .226 .226 .321  .547
Corey Seager     Sept/Oct 2017  0 31 .222 .290 .296  .587

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/15/2017.

Turner has been quietly hitting, and I say quietly because he was doing this while the team was losing, while the Bellinger break out this week resulted in the only two wins since the Dreamers were put on a see-saw.

The Dodgers can probably beat bad teams with just two of the horsemen making hay, but to beat the October teams, I think they will need the Chris Taylor engine to reignite and Corey Seager to overcome his elbow issues and provide the production he has provided for most of his major league career.

We should be legitimately worried about Chris Taylor, not because he’s hitting .226 in Sept but because his OBP is also .226 which means he still hasn’t taken a walk in Sept. Maybe my wishing for Lorenzo Cain wasn’t such a bad idea after all.