Every player is replaceable
Why is that a controversial comment? Bill James said out loud what every GM has ever thought for the history of baseball. Or maybe not everyone, but certainly quite a few.
Players come, players go, the constant is the game, not the players. Agents don’t want to hear this, fans don’t want to hear this, but I think it is true.
The Red Sox were quick to disavow their consultant.
— Boston Red Sox (@RedSox) November 8, 2018
Which they kind of had to do, but I was more surprised at the comments from baseball journalists.
This holds about as much weight as “No baseball player below Triple-A matters.”
— Emily Waldon (@EmilyCWaldon) November 8, 2018
Bill James didn’t say you could replace Verlander with a AAA pitcher and everything would be the same, he just said that every player is replaceable and if everyone retired today, in three years the game would be pretty much the same. I think it would. Heck, you can’t even get baseball to touch the 30 and over free agents right now.
Nobody wants baseball’s 30-something free agents anymore. 😞 https://t.co/oLNm4xc1w3
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) November 8, 2018
Just for fun imagine that the 2017 Dodgers all retired who were projected to make the 2018 25 man roster on March 1st. This is what the 2018 team would have looked like.
1st – Edwin Rios
2nd – Max Muncy / Brevvic Valeria
SS – Donovan Solano
3rd – Beatty / Connor Joe
C – Farmer / Rocky Gale
RF – Alex Verdugo
CF – Tim Locastro
LF – Andrew Toles
SP – Walker Buehler, Brock Stewart, Dennis Santana, Caleb Ferguson, Manny Banuelos
RP – Pat Vendite, Brian Schlitter, Shea Spitzbarth, Josh Sborz, Marshall Kasowski
Not ideal but in competition against every other team who lost all their major league players, that team probably is playing in October. In three years that could look like:
1st – Max Muncy
2nd – Drew Jackson / Omar Estevez
SS – Gavin Lux
3rd – Will Smith
C – Keibert Ruiz
RF – Alex Verdugo
CF – DJ Peters
LF – Andrew Toles
SP – Buehler, Urias, Dustin May, Tony Gonsolin, Mitch White
RP – Alvarez, Kasowski, Ferguson, Sheffield, Uceta
Yeah, it ain’t your 2018 World Series Dodgers but it might have a CYA in Buehler. It would still bring 3,000,000 fans to the ballpark and remember they would be competing against every other team who lost all of their players from March 1st, 2018.
Just saying if every major league player retired on March 1st, 2018, the game would have some bumps but in the end, the game would look pretty much the same by October 2021.
I think all of his was about labor. I don’t really give a shit about the major league salaries, but I sure would like to see the minor league folk taken care of. Or maybe the carrot of being paid like a major league baseball player is what drives them to work hard but it just seems to me that removing the anxiety of trying to make a living on minimum wage salaries while also preparing to be a major league baseball player would benefit the system.
- Posted in: Uncategorized
- Tagged: Alex Verdugo, Andrew Toles, Bill James, Brian Schlitter, Brock Stewart, Caleb Ferguson, Connor Joe, Dennis Santana, DJ Peters, Donovan Solano, Drew Jackson, Dustin May, Edwin Rios, Edwin Uceta, Emily Waldon, Gavin Lux, Jordan Sheffield, Josh Sborz, Julio Urias, Keibert Ruiz, Kyle Farmer, Manny Banuelos, Marshall Kasowski, Matt Beatty, Max Muncy, Mitch White, Nate Silver, Omar Estevez, Pat Venditte, Shea Spitzbarth, Tim Locastro, Tony Gonsolin, Walker Buehler, Will Smith