Cody chasing Piazza/Green/McGwire on July 12th

Phil Gurnee ♦ July 12, 2017 ♦ Leave a comment

For the first time since we started doing this series, Cody Bellinger lost ground to everyone. Especially McGwire and Green, but even Piazza picked up some ground.

No longer does it look like a lock that Cody will break the long-standing rookie home run record by Piazza though he is still in great shape. He is way behind McGwire right now as Big Mac hit around 11 home runs in two weeks starting on June 27th.

Cody is still in front of the Shawn Green pace, but Green would hit five home runs in the next two weeks.  If you look at the Green chart you will notice he needs to hit 29 home runs over his next 280 plate appearances. In other words, Shawn Green is about to go ballistic, and I don’t see any chance of Cody keeping pace.

That is what happens when you only hit one home run in 50 plate appearances after averaging a home run every 10.

With two more home runs, he will pass Joc and Corey, and they will drop from this list. Hopefully by next Sunday.

 

 

Player	Year	PA	HR	HR/PA	Total HR Thru July 12th	Total
Mike Piazza	1993	467	25	18.68	18	35
Joc Pederson	2015	533	25	21.32	20	26
Corey Seager	2016	596	25	23.84	17	26
Shawn Green	2001	427	25	17.08	20	49
Mark McGwire	1987	271	25	10.84	33	49
Cody Bellinger	2017	292	25	11.68	25	???

If this confusing here is a quick legend.

PA – this is the number of plate appearances it took for each player to reach 25 home runs. We used 25 home runs because that is where Bellinger is right now. This would be within 4 PA of accuracy as I didn’t check the game log for the specific plate appearance they hit the home run.

HR – This is a marker showing you 25 home runs.

HR/PA – this is the home runs per plate appearance pace when they each hit their 25th home run.

Total HR by July 12th

Total – season home run total