Let us revisit the rotation guesses

Back on Feb 17th we did a little exercise to see if could figure out how many starts would be accumulated by the many potential candidates for the rotation. I put out three scenarios and scenario three is looking pretty good right now:)

Meh, that looks too safe. I want to go out on a limb and predict that Ryu is gonna change everything.

Starter | EstGamesStarted | Left
Kershaw | 31 | 131
Maeda | 25 | 106
Ryu | 25 | 81
Hill | 25 | 56
McCarthy | 22 | 34
Urias | 12 | 22
Alex Wood | 10 | 12
Stewart | 8 | 4
Ross Stripling | 4 | 0
Scott Kazmir | 0 | 0

I like how optimistic I went on Ryu/McCarthy but I don’t’ want to imagine a scenario where Urias only gets 12 starts.

What are your guesses now that the rotation is set and we know who is healthy?

Keep in mind that the Dodgers used 15 different starters in 2016 and 16 different starters in 2015.

Since 2010 these are the numbers:

  • 2000 – 10
  • 2001 – 12
  • 2002 – 9
  • 2003 – 10
  • 2004 – 9
  • 2005 10
  • 2006 – 11
  • 2007 – 11
  • 2008 – 11
  • 2009 – 12
  • 2010 – 10
  • 2011 – 9
  • 2012 – 9
  • 2013 – 11
  • 2014 – 12
  • 2015 – 16
  • 2016 – 15

Since 2000

  • Five times they have used nine different starters
  • Three times they have used ten different starters
  • Four times they have used eleven different starters
  • Three times they have used twelve different starters

Can anyone name the 15 different starters in 2016?

I’ll start you off easy

  • Kenta – 32
  • Kazmir – 26
  • Kershaw = 21
  • Urias  – 15
  • Stripling  – 14
  • Wood – 10

Now the rest is upto you.

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4 Comments

  1. Mike Sacha

    I will not be thrilled if Urias only gets 12 starts.

    Like

    • 68elcamino427

      If the target for Urias is 150 MLB IP
      INCLUDING three playoff starts
      6 IP × 3 playoff starts = 18 ,
      150 IP – 18 playoff IP = 132 regular season IP ÷ 6 IP per start = 22 regular season starts

      22 starts for the staff × 5 starting rotation spots = 110 Games

      162 regular season Games – 110 regular season Games = 52 regular season Games

      Game 52 is scheduled for Sunday May 28 vs the Cubs at Dodger Stadium.

      I think they might bring him back and little bit sooner, the Dodgers have a three game series against the Giants in Frisco that is slated to begin Monday May 15.

      Like

  2. If Urias averages 6 IP per start in the playoffs and regular season the Dodgers will be in Nirvana.

    Like

    • 68elcamino427

      Starts Pitcher
      30 Kershaw
      30 Maeda
      22 Urias
      20 Hill
      15 Ryu
      15 McCarthy
      15 Wood
      15 Stewart

      WAG!!!

      Like

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