NFBC drafting – Team one
They say no one is interested in reading or hearing about roto drafts, but if that was true Fangraphs, Rotowire, and BaseballHQ wouldn’t have the traffic they have.
I might as well write about something I love to do and try to make it as Dodger-centric as I can.
I just completed my 3rd NFBC draft. Two were of the 50 round 15 team (750 players) variety, and one was of the 12 team, 30 round variety.
I don’t like mock drafts to get ready for the Main NFBC draft so this year I did a few real drafts and I plan on doing at least two more before the main one.
I’ve learned a few things. Trea Turner is a hot commodity. He has gone 7th, 9th, and 1st overall in my three drafts. I personally think that is crazy and reminds me of teams picking Carlos Correa in the first round last year.
I’ve got a smattering of Dodgers on my teams.
This is my first draft picking from the 6th position. I would have taken Kershaw but he was gone. I’m loaded on offense but light on pitching and closers. When Tanaka and Teheran are your front line pitchers you better do good work later in the draft. I don’t think I did enough to make up waiting that long to get in on the pitchers. Pitchers have gone earlier and earlier each year and being my first draft of the season I didn’t pull the trigger early enough. However this kind of league is a league of attrition as you can only use the original 50 players drafted so if injuries beset a team, you better have some solid backups to get through the 162 game season. You have to remember that this is a 15 team league so no one is going to have a great pitching staff.
I sure do like my offense though. Doesn’t matter that Dozier may not be a 2nd round pick, I got Pollock in the 3rd and Braun in the 4th. Next year at this time Bregman will be at least a second round pick. I actually started this draft back in January when I thought the Dodgers were going to acquire Dozier instead of Forsythe.
It wasn’t until the 15th round that I got my first Dodger and that was Puig. At 15 he’s not even a gamble unless he regresses more in 17 than he has so far. Brandon McCarthy was my second Dodger and I didn’t nab him until round 28. Could pay off nicely if he can crack the rotation and stay in it. Andre was still available at my spot in round 39. I needed a backup outfielder and he fit the bill perfectly.
As pure gambles, I took Jose Fernandez and Willie Calhoun. I expect nothing from either but just wanted them on my team. When you draft 50 players, at least five of these guys will never see the major leagues for any significant minutes. Remember at this point we are 700 players deep and every starting player has been long gone.
The secret to this strange draft is that I used the rankings of Todd Zola who is quite famous in the NFBC world. Since I’m doing multiple drafts, for this one I just used his ranking. The other drafts will be different takes. I wanted to compare a Todd Zola drafted team against a team that I would have preferred.
For example, I never would have taken Eduardo Nunez in the 8th round but Todd has him ranked as the 84th best roto player in a 5 x 5 league so I went with it. He only had players ranked until 330 so for the last 25 rounds I was on my own.
I also ended up with the Ross brothers. For better or worse I have Finnegan on all my teams
Players I was excited about getting. Arenado, Pollock, Bregman, Thames, Puig, Kang, Strahm, Duffy, and T Ross.
I also threw a flier at Frankie Montas.
One other note, while some Dodger fans don’t think they will miss Jharel Cotton, roto players think he’s the bomb and he’s going pretty early for a guy with such little major league experience. He went in the 19th round in this draft, 18th in another, and 19th in the final draft. Paul Sporer who writes for both Fangraphs and Rotowire recently came out with his top 100 pitchers, and Mr. Cotton ranked 68th overall at Fangraphs.
Dodger Draft notes:
- Kershaw was the 3rd pick
- Kenta in the 8th
- Hill in the 9th
- Urias in the 13th
- Wood in the 24th
- Kazmir 26th
- McCarthy 28th (Me)
- Ryu in the 31st
- Brock Stewart 39th
Ross Stripling was the only rotation option not drafted
- Jansen in the 4th
- Dayton 29th
- Pedro Baez in the 39th
- Romo 39th
- Seager in the 2nd (23rd overall)
- Turner in the 8th
- Grandal in the 1oth
- Gonzalez went in the 11th round
- Forsythe in the 14th
- Barnes 33rd
- Chase 36th
- Joc in the 13th (Todd Zola is not a fan)
- Puig in the 15th (Me)
- Toles in the 24th
- Andre in the 39th (Me)
- Gutierrez in the 44th
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