Just who is the Dodgers best SS prospect?

Based on early season prospect rankings the answer would be the 2016 number one pick Gavin Lux, but is it? From what I can tell, the Dodgers have three shortstops on their Great Lakes roster or at least two.

The contenders:

Gavin Lux – the 2016 number one pick didn’t play his first game this year until late April and was in a early season funk until May 11th when he started to pick up his offense. Lux has shown a good eye with a 100 point spread between his BA and OBP. That is the only good offensive news so far. He strikes out at a good clip for a guy who has yet to hit a home run this year and has only five XBH in 123 at-bats. He’s only nineteen and won’t turn 20 until late November.  Given he was considered the best shortstop in the draft not named Delvin Perez I find it curious that he’s splitting time at SS with Brendon Davis.  Instead of just planting him at SS once he joined the Loons, he’s started fifteen games at 2nd base, and fifteen games at shortstop.  My gut says to rank Brendon Davis ahead of Lux, but for now, I’ll comply with the scouting reports that say Lux is a true SS and that Davis profiles more as a 3rd baseman.  For now.

Brendon Davis – Davis is only a few months older than Lux even though he has been in the Dodger system since 2015.  With Lux not joining the team until April 20th, Davis got many starts at shortstop, but even with Lux now on the team, Davis continues to start some games at shortstop. This year he has started 11 games at 2nd, 14 games at 3rd, and 19 games at shortstop.  His bat picked up this year and even though he’s dropped off in May he still has an OPS of .858 in a tough offensive league. That OPS is good enough for 12th place in the league and he hits in over half his games in one of the tougher pitching parks in the league.  Even tonight, Brendon Davis was playing SS and Lux 2nd base.  For good measure, Davis almost went for a cycle tonight.

Drew Jackson – received in the trade for Chase De Jong from the Mariners during spring training. Before you scoff too loudly, remember it was almost a year ago the Dodgers turned a non-asset like Zach Lee into Chris Taylor. You might know Taylor as the Dodgers starting CF and the best hitter on the team in May. Anyway, Drew Jackson is repeating A+ ball and is on the Dodgers California League team. Headed into this year Jackson was a speed guy with little power.  This year he has discovered some power but that might simply be the California League. In his debut professional season, he stole 47 bases while getting caught only four times in just 59 games. That is kind of insane. Too bad he didn’t keep that up. I guess the catchers/pitchers have caught up to him because this year in 37 games, he’s only stolen six bases while getting caught five times.  They say he has a cannon for an arm with soft hands.  If Drew can’t find his bat he might be the next Dodger prospect to be converted to a pitcher.  Imagine the value of a relief pitcher who can really pinch run and play defense?

Oneil Cruz – the baby of the bunch, Cruz is just eighteen, and at 6’6 is probably too tall for either SS or 3rd base.  He has however started sixteen games at SS this year for the Loons compared to twenty-two at 3rd base.  The left-handed hitting Cruz was in a huge slump to start the year but things have started to pick up with thirteen hits in his last forty-five at-bats.  Cruz has now gotten his May OPS up to .732 after compiling a .358 OPS in April. The only reason Cruz is last is that I simply can’t take it seriously that he could play shortstop at the major league level.  He’s 6’6 now, and at only 18 he’s still a growing boy.  He’s lanky now, but Joel Guzman was lanky at 18 and hulked out.  Cruz seems like one of those left side infielders who ends up at 1st base though the scouts say he can handle 3rd base.  We shall see, but for now, I don’t consider him a shortstop prospect.

As I stated above it is a curious thing the Dodgers are doing with Lux/Davis/Cruz. Davis has played 2nd/SS/3rd. Lux has played 2nd/SS. Cruz has played SS/3rd.

Are they taking versatility to a new level with their prospects? Or are they simply undecided about who should be the Loon shortstop?

I’d really like to see Drew Jackson promoted to Tulsa to play SS, and find out if he can hit higher levels of pitching because if not, maybe they should get on that pitching transformation.

 

 

OTDIB – May 30th, 1986 – Home run king struggles in 1st major league start against Dodgers

On this date in baseball, May 30th

May 30th, 1986 – Home run king struggles in his first start

1986 In a 6-4 loss to the Dodgers at Three Rivers Stadium, future home run king Barry Bonds goes 0-for-5 in his major league debut. The Pirates center fielder, batting leadoff, strikes out three times.

The blurb says debut but when you review the game logs, Barry’s first at-bat was on April 20th in a suspended game. His first start was against the Dodgers on May 30th, 1986 and he did strike out three times.

His father, Bobby Bonds had a more rousing debut against the Dodgers hitting a grand slam in his first game.  Off of………………..John Purdin

OTDIB – May 29th – 104 year-old World War One vet visits Dodger Stadium

On this date in baseball, May 29th:

May 29th, 2010 – Doc is in the house

Roy Halladay throws the 20th perfect game in major league history, outdueling Josh Johnson in the Phillies’ 1-0 victory over the Marlins at Miami’s Sun Life Stadium. The former American League Cy Young Award winner, obtained from Toronto in the off-season, joins Jim Bunning as the only other hurler in franchise history to accomplish the feat

I mention this one because Jim Bunning died last week.

May 29th, 2000 – WWI vet visits Dodger Stadium

At the age of 104, Fred Roberts, the oldest living Dodger fan, makes his first visit to Dodger Stadium. Wearing a jersey with the number 104, the World War I veteran cheers as Shawn Green’s sixth inning grand slam helps to beat Al Leiter and the Mets, 4-1.

May 29th, 1979 – Dodger power

At Dodger Stadium, Dusty Baker, Rick Sutcliffe, Steve Garvey, Gary Thomasson, Derrel Thomas, Joe Ferguson, and Davey Lopes set a team record by hitting seven home runs as the Dodgers crush the Reds, 17-6.

I was at this game, they lit up a young Red prospect named Frank Pastore. But guess what. The date was actually May 25th, 1979 not May 29th as the website claims. Didn’t occur to me that I had to error check these events.

OTDIB – May 28th – Lo Duca goes six for six

On this date in baseball, May 28th
May 28th, 2011 – fire hits Dodger Stadium during game

The game between Los Angeles and Florida continues as fans in a section of the upper deck seats at Dodger Stadium are evacuated due to a small fire in a nearby storage area. With plumes of smoke visible coming from the top level of the ball park on the first base side, the crowd is informed by the public address announcer that it will not be necessary to evacuate the entire stadium.

May 28th, 2001 – Lo Duca goes six for six

2001 In an 11-inning slugfest with Colorado, LA catcher Paul Lo Duca goes 6-for-6 in the team’s 11-10 victory at Dodger Stadium. The backstop’s five singles and a three-run homer tie a National League record for hits in an extra-inning game.

May 28th, 1973 – Only a knuckleballer could do this

1973 Wilbur Wood, allowing only two hits in five innings, hurls the remainder of a 21-inning game that had been suspended two nights earlier, to earn the win when Chicago beats the Indians at White Sox Park, 4-1. The 31 year-old knuckleballer, who later in the season will lose both ends of a doubleheader, then pitches a four-hit complete game shutout in the regularly scheduled game to earn two victories tonight.

OTDIB – May 27th – Ken Brett again

On this date in baseball, May 27th

May 27th, 1974 – Ken Brett again. For a guy who was overshadowed by his HOF brother, Ken sure shows up here alot.

In a game that takes only one-hour and thirty eight minutes to complete, Pirates starter Ken Brett blanks the Padres 6-0, allowing just two hits in the Three Rivers Stadium contest. In the second game of a twin bill, the Bucs’ southpaw pinch-hits a seventh-inning two-run triple which contributes to the Pirates’ 8-7 victory over the Friars.

One year, seven hundred posts later

It has been about a year since I started blogging again and the results have been mixed. I’ve been interested enough to write about something seven hundred times but those interested in what I’m writing are a rare breed.

I’m not sure who is reading what I’m writing, based on comments Gary is my regular customer who comes into my bar every day and has everything on the menu. Jim shows up once in a while when his other bar is crowded or remembers that drink he liked that he could only get at my bar. Mike started showing up feigning ignorance of the place even though he had to walk right by it every day on his way to the regular bar.  Those are my commentators and while the quantity is low, the quality is top notch.  I feel lucky that I like everyone who bothers to comment.

The readership is low but has climbed to the point my Google stat bar charts can be seen without having to use reading glasses.

I’m still feeling my way around this blog, trying to figure out what I can write about without saying the same thing 100 other Dodger blogs are saying.  My twitter feed is funny, I do have about ten Dodger bloggers on the feed and every time there is any Dodger news, I get about twenty tweets about the exact same thing. I’ve tried to stay away from that realm, the minutia of the Dodgers is covered very extensively.

I write for two reasons. Reason one is that I need to stay creative during my time on the system. I trade options for income now and so I need to be on-line starting at 06:30 in the morning until 01:00 PM. But trading options has lots and lots of down time. Some days can be very busy, but other days I’ll make zero trades if all my money is tied up. To fill in the time gaps I write. and write. and write.  I think it has helped keep my mind sharp. When I was running an Information system department, I had to make multiple decisions about many different environments and was always multi-tasking. Without that stimulus to keep my mind sharp I was afraid it would atrophy. I’m not sure if writing has replaced that stimulus but it has helped mitigate it so along with the option writing I think I’m okay with working the brain.  Reason two is that I simply like to write.

Vocally, words have always been hard for me to work with. Anyone who has ever known me for any length of time has known that when I’m talking I’ll search for a word but it just won’t show up for me. One of my best friends used to be my fill in the blank person, but he moved to Seattle leaving me to grasp with the language as best I could.  I have a different problem when it comes to writing.   Any of my first drafts would basically be unreadable but my brain did get the content right as it flowed out too fast for my writing skills to translate a readable or grammatically correct form.  Luckily Grammarly has helped me greatly to find both the flow mistakes and the simple grammatical mistakes.  I’m not sure why my brain works like this. I know writing and verbal exchange comes easily to many of you. As a child, I had hearing issues and extensive earaches until they removed the adenoids that were blocking my hearing ability.  Many people I’ve talked with can remember parts of their life much earlier than I can. My first real memories don’t occur for me until 1st grade right after they cleared my adenoids.  I thought that was normal until people would tell me things they remembered when they were two or three. That seemed crazy to me.  I only have two real memories before kindergarten. Our cat running away during a trip across the country, and our dog being run over in front of my mother. Everything else is vague. Ok, that is the verbal part. I really do think my hearing issues as a child impacted my verbal skills.

But……sheer laziness is the writing issue. I get that conundrum. How could anyone write who doesn’t want to spend time learning how to write grammatically correct prose? A lazy fuck, that is who. I’ve spent most of my life not working hard at anything I wasn’t interested in. I’m interested in writing, grammar, not so much.

Sorry

Baseball Reference and Fangraphs have been used extensively when I write about the Dodgers or baseball. The Baseball Reference sharing tool is probably used in 80% of everything I write.  I could copy and paste to excel. manipulate, and pop back into the post but they have made is so easy to read with <pre> format that it saves me oodles of time and looks great.

I turned my back on programming ten years ago and while I know some HTML I could stand to learn more. Over the next year, I’d like to make the blog better visually. If I was to have created this blog from scratch using my own server instead of WordPress I envisioned a home page with a border of baseball cards that would randomly change every time the home page was opened by a unique user. Each card would have links to any articles on the blog that mentioned them. The wallpaper would be a gorgeous view of Dodger Stadium much like the original artwork for TrueBLueLA.  I had hoped to work with Andrew Grant to purchase his minor league central system since he had stopped keeping it up, but he never returned any attempt to communicate with him.

Maybe I’ll get to that.

For now I’ll keep putting out

  • This day in baseball with mostly Dodger content and some commentary if I remember anything about the event or player. I just started doing this about a month ago and I really enjoy it.
  • Dodger leaderboards related to game scores, strikeouts, and total bases based on the team they are playing and where.  These are easy to do, and I love seeing the history of the Dodgers on these leaderboards. Maybe no one cares that Hideo Nomo has the highest game score against the Cardinals at Dodger Stadium. I’m not even sure I care, I just like to write about it and for some reason I enjoy it when an Alex Wood cracks those leaderboards right after I post them.
  • The Dodger farm system. I’m no scout and never pretend to be but I do read lots of scouting information. The Weekly Farm Factory just gives me a reason to stay current on what is happening throughout the farm system.  If anything has grown in the Dodger blogosphere since I started blogging in 2007 it is the growth in the coverage of farm systems.  I don’t have anything to add here, but since I like the prospects I’m going to write about them.
  • Great games during the year. There is no need to do a recap of every game, that is done by everyone, but I do want to write about games that in my mind, were games that stood out.
  • The weird stuff that no one cares about but me. Like Howie Kendrick going 100 plate appearances and only driving in one run as a starting LF during a stretch in 2016. AJ Ellis unable to score in 2016 in over 100 plate appearances.
  • Personal touches I can add that are really diary stories for myself to look back on and go oh yeah, I remember that. Or realize I don’t remember and start to prepare my life without my brain.

So in recap, if you do read the blog, thanks and if you do want to say anything please do so.

The House

The passing of Greg Allman this past weekend made me put on Eat a Peach and kick back as though I was fifteen years old and let the memories wash over me.  The Allman Brothers music was made for being stoned and nobody was more stoned in the early 70’s than my brothers and his friends.

When my 3rd oldest brother moved out of the family house he rented a home in southern Glendale with two of his best friends, Vance Faulkner and Chris Clarke. Eventually, my 4th oldest brother would take refuge there.

The house had three constants. Everyone was always stoned. The house was filled with guests. The music of choice was the Allman Brothers or the Doors.  You could get stoned there simply by opening the door and taking your first breath.  The kids who stayed at the house were between 17 – 25 years old.

They all worked hard at labor intensive jobs. My two brothers and his two friends all worked at a wallpaper making company in Glendale.  It might have been the same building that Golden Road Brewing is kicking up such a storm. If not, it was in the same vicinity. But at that time, the Glendale past the railroad tracks in South Eastern Glendale was all industrial.  They put the paint on the wallpaper, heck they were probably stoned from the paint fumes before they ever got home.  None of them went to college though all of them were smart enough to have.  I’m not sure what role the pot played in that but these kids were getting high by the age of fifteen and never stopped.

This went on a few years until the house was busted. My brother and Vance fled the state. Chris Clarke took off for parts unknown.  My other brother was not involved in the bust but left the house. The once packed house was now empty.  The chords of Whipping Post from Fillmore East were now baked into the woodwork.  Whoever rented it next probably wondered if they would ever get the smell of pot out of the house.

The bust caused the group to grow up a little. Vance came back and did his time at a minimum detention facility for six months.  He would get out of jail and start a new life, form a softball team and while drugs and booze were always a part of his life, for a while he had things going for him. He would eventually die in Needles after being paralyzed in a car accident.  That is another story, his life is worth a story.  Vance was big man and a big presence in my life until he moved to Needles.

I never saw Chris Clarke again. Word was that he had died in Palmdale/Lancaster when he was driven over by a car while sleeping on a road.  I don’t know if that was true, but I do know that when I knew Chris Clarke when he was eighteen, I never expected him to live past twenty-one.

My brothers survived the house and ended up having five great children between them. For a while, I didn’t think they would get out of that house and live the lives they ended up making for themselves.

They did me a great service though. I watched that house from afar, and while one part of me wanted to be part of the drug culture, to take some hits, curl up on the floor and groove to the Allman Brothers, another part of me said. “behold, these guys aren’t going anywhere, stay away stay away”.

And while I’d like to say my brothers cautioned me from this life that was not the case. They liked to get me stoned. In this case, I stayed away on my own because something else kept me on a different path.

For a long time, I stayed away from listening to the Allman Brothers. I kind of considered their music to go hand in hand with a lifestyle I wasn’t interested in, but eventually, as I got older I went back to those beautiful southern blues songs. They became my music of choice for long drives, for sitting on my swinging porch. For relaxing.

When I heard Greg Allman had died, for the first time in a long time, I really wanted to get stoned, lay down and let Alexa play me all the Allman Brothers she could muster from my catalog.

I just didn’t have any pot. I probably need to get some for these occasions.

No letup for Kyle Farmer

Kyle Farmer was promoted to AAA on May 23rd and while they can’t figure out where to play him, they know they want his bat in the lineup.  Since being promoted Farmer has started at 1st base, 3rd base, and catcher.  He’s hit three doubles and two home runs in just twenty-four at-bats. His TSL for AAA so far is .375 / .464 / .750.

So, Farm Factory award for the week ending May 28th goes to Kyle Farmer who continues to make a claim to be considered the next Austin Barnes.

Dodgers win 18th game in May

The red-hot Dodgers won their 18th game in May, something they haven’t done since 2010 when they went 20 – 8.  Those 18 wins are the fourth most in LAD franchise history with the most being 21 wins in 1962. With two games left the Dodgers have a shot at 20 wins which they accomplished in both 2009 and 2010.

They accomplished the win today with a Bellinger blast and bullet. Bellinger crushed a 3-0 pitch deep into the right-field seats and followed that with a fantastic throw to nail a Cardinal at home plate.  With DeJong at 2nd base, a shot to SS caromed off of Seager into shallow left field. Bellinger charged and picked it up with his bare hand and fired a bullet to Grandal who applied the tag to the face of DeJong.

Rich Hill gave the Dodgers four great innings plus three more outs to get the game to the bullpen with a 3 – 1. The bullpen took it from there firing four more scoreless innings.  Brandon Morrow who was just brought up even threw a scoreless inning.

Chase Utley hit his 3rd home run in five games, and Logan Forsythe hit his first home run of the year.

The Rockies finally lost and the Dodgers are now just 1/2 game from 1st place. The Rockies had to have been hoping that playing the Cardinals/Cubs/Cardinals/Brewers would slow down the Dodgers but instead the Dodgers have gone 6 – 1 so far with six games left.

They are doing it in a crazy way:

  • Their starting 3rd baseman who leads the league in hitting is on the DL
  • Their starting CF is on the DL and he was struggling anyway before he got hurt
  • Their original starting LF is out for the year
  • The 20-year-old pitcher who was supposed to be a fixture in the rotation is now in AAA trying to find his command
  • Their clean up hitter and slugging 1st  baseman has hit one home run, and it is May 29th

Yeah, I’d be worried if I was the Rockies.

Updated May Stats – Wood rules the roost

May Record – 17/8

National League West Position – 2nd place, 1 1/2 games back of the Rockies who have gone 17/9 in May. 

The Good Stuff:

  • Alex Wood has been the best pitcher for the month and since he is now on the DL, that won’t change any.
  • The bullpen has been unbelievable. Josh Fields,  Ross Stripling, and Pedro Baez have been the best setup group in baseball. They have basically been unhittable in May with every OPS against below .600.
  • Chris Hatcher has had two bad games out of eight. The other six outing have been as dominant as the three mentioned above.
  • The Kenta/Ryu piggyback game last week was a success for both pitchers, the team, and the bullpen.

The Bad Stuff:

  • Clayton Kershaw has given up six home runs in only forty innings.  His SO9 ratio is below 9, and his OPS against is over .650. This might be normal for 95% of major league pitchers but for Kershaw this might be his worst month in years. We will have to look into this further when the month closes in a few days.
  • Rich Hill hasn’t pitched much, but when he has he hasn’t been impressive. With Wood going on the DL, Hill needs to steup up his game.

May 2017 Pitching Stats as of May 28th:

Player              G   IP W   ERA GS HR BB SO  WHIP  SO9  SO/W   OPS
Clayton Kershaw     6 40.2 3  2.43  6  6  7 39 1.082  8.6  5.57  .676
Alex Wood           5 28.1 5  1.27  5  0  7 41 1.024 13.0  5.86  .510
Kenta Maeda         3 18.1 2  2.95  3  1  5 17 1.091  8.3  3.40  .621
Brandon McCarthy    3 17.2 2  3.57  3  0  3 16 0.906  8.2  5.33  .496
Julio Urias         4 17.2 0  6.62  4  1 10  7 1.642  3.6  0.70  .829
Josh Fields        12 14.1 2  0.63  0  1  3 14 0.767  8.8  4.67  .456
Ross Stripling      7 14.1 0  1.26  0  0  3 18 0.837 11.3  6.00  .451
Hyun-Jin Ryu        3 13.1 1  4.73  2  2  8  9 1.875  6.1  1.13  .943
Chris Hatcher       9 12.1 0  2.92  0  2  1 16 1.135 11.7 16.00  .738
Pedro Baez         12 12.0 0  1.50  0  1  5 11 1.083  8.3  2.20  .573
Kenley Jansen       9  9.1 1  0.96  0  1  0 17 0.536       16.4  .394
Rich Hill           2  9.0 0  6.00  2  1  7 10 1.889 10.0  1.43  .833
Sergio Romo         9  7.2 1  4.70  0  3  1  9 0.783 10.6  9.00  .743
Luis Avilan        10  6.2 0  4.05  0  0  4 12 1.800 16.2  3.00  .746
Grant Dayton        5  4.0 0 11.25  0  1  3  3 2.000  6.8  1.00 1.088
Adam Liberatore     2  2.1 0  0.00  0  0  1  3 0.429 11.6  3.00  .125

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/29/2017.