FFA for Week of 8/14 – 8/20

The contenders are:

Dennis Santana/AA/Tulsa – Santana finally pitched a gem after three straight bad starts. He went six inning, five hits, one earned run, one walk, and ten strikeouts.  This was his best game in AA and hopefully a sign of things to come for the rest of the month.

Yadier Alvarez/AA/Tulsa – The top pitching prospect coming into 2017, Yadier had done little to keep that title, but on Saturday night got sixteen outs for the first time since 6/26. This was the first time since late May he did not give up an earned run. He went six innings, three hits, zero earned runs, two walks, and five strikeouts.  This was the best game of the year stat wise for Alvarez.

Ibandel Isabel – A+/Rancho – Ibandel had nine hits in five games, but the reason he’s here is that he had four hits, two home runs, and eight runs batted on Friday Night. 

“I can’t recall a moment in my little career in baseball where I’ve seen a guy knock in eight runs and hit two balls probably a combined half a mile,” Rancho Cucamonga manager Drew Saylor said. “It was pretty special to be able to see that.”

Isabel leads the California League with twenty-six home runs. DJ Peters is second with 24. DJ Peters also leads the league in strikeouts with 172, and Isabel is 3rd with 149. Great power comes with a great price.

Gavin Lux – A-/Loons – had twelve hits in twenty-seven at-bats. Lux has definitely gotten hot, but only one of those twelve hits was an extra-base. He has moved his OPS to .696 just a shade below .700 with an OPS in August of .944.  Nice to see the 2016 number one pick get it going offensively.

Keibert Ruiz – A+/Rancho – Keibert also had twelve hits but in only 23 at-bats, with two doubles, and one home run.  Keibert had seen his average drop to .312 from a high of .377 but by the end of the week, it had climbed back to .353.  The only troubling thing is that he had zero walks, and has zero walks in his last ten games.  One of the nice things about Ruiz with the Loons was his increasing patience.

And the winner of the Farm Factory Award for August 13 – 20th is Ibandel Isabel. 

Farm Notes:

Wilmer Font finally pitched a bad game getting knocked around on Sunday. I guess he got tired of waiting for that call to the major leagues that never came. Has to be frustrating to be the best pitcher in a hitters league but spend the whole season while pitcher after pitcher get the call instead.

Tim Locastro had a hot week just not hot enough.

Sopko and Sborz both had good games last week on the same day as each won their part of a doubleheader.

Jeren Kendall has struggled with the Loons but he does have four triples in just 79 plate appearances.

Starling Heredia also struggled in his first month with the Loons but had a nice week last week. His walk rate is sterling, so once the balls start dropping for hits, we are going to have a nice prospect.  Just like Kendall, contact is an issue right now.

 

 

 

 

 

So much winning

Ridiculous:

  • Dodgers are 1 – 0 with Curtis Granderson
  • Dodgers are 1 – 0 with Joc Pederson in AAA
  • Dodgers are 2 – 0 since Adrian Gonzalez rejoined the team
  • Dodgers have won six in a row
  • Dodgers now have six streaks of at least six wins in a row
  • Dodgers have won 13 in a row against the American League
  • Dodgers have the second best Interleague winning percentage in National League history, behind only the 2004 Cardinals (11-1, .917).
  • Dodgers are 13 – 3 in August
  • Dodgers are 19 – 3 since Clayton Kershaw last started a game
  • Dodgers are 26 – 5 since the All-Star break
  • Dodgers are 52 – 9 since June 7th
  • Dodgers have won 37 consecutive games in which they’ve scored four or more runs, with their last loss coming on June 15 at Cleveland (L, 12-5). There have only been three longer such streaks in MLB history, the 1954 Indians (42), 1906 Giants (41) and 1898 Boston Beaneaters (38) – Source: Stats, LLC.
  • Dodgers have 16 sweeps and with a victory today, will make it 17.
  • Dodgers haven’t lost a series since June 9th going 18 – 0 – 3 in that time span.
  • Dodgers are 36 – 20 on the road.
  • Dodgers are 51 – 14 at home
  • Dodgers have beaten eight teams this year without a loss

 

 

 

Dodgers win at games and roster building

Tonight the Dodgers won again, this time with Adrian Gonzalez playing for the first time since June. I don’t think enough is being made about how useful a healthy Gonzalez can help this team. Probably because it appears they don’t need any help in winning, but winning in the summer isn’t the same as winning in October.

The front office must agree as they continue to tinker with the team, and in an effort to increase their odds this October they and went out and acquired the best human being in baseball, Curtis Granderson. If you follow ESPN columnist Mike Petriello you know that he has been banging the drum for someone to acquire Granderson, so the Dodgers finally obliged and added him to the roster tonight.

Top hitters since May 1 (minimum 294 plate appearances), by wRC+
176 — Jose Altuve / Joey Votto
169 — George Springer 

166 — Marwin Gonzalez
164 — Giancarlo Stanton 

162 — Aaron Judge 
159 — Paul Goldschmidt / Justin Smoak
157 — Anthony Rendon
153 — JD Martinez

148 — Granderson / Kris Bryant / Eric Hosmer / Cody Bellinger

There’s Granderson, tied over the past 3 1/2 months with last year’s NL Most Valuable Player Award winner, a World Series champ finally tapping into his power, and the clear front-runner for the 2017 NL Rookie of the Year Award. He’s ahead of Corey Seager and Daniel Murphy; he’s ahead of Anthony Rizzo and Mike Moustakas.

The roster was already complicated with the addition of Adrian Gonzalez and was going to be a little more complicated when Andre Ethier joins the team on Sept 1st, but now it is really complicated.

Or is it?

Seems clear, that Curtis Granderson should play right now instead of Joc Pederson. The Dodger only weak spot right now is CF, and that was probably going to result in Joc sitting so either Cody or Chris Taylor would play CF when Adrian was playing 1st. Curtis Granderson will join the outfield, I don’t know if he will play CF or LF but I doubt he is insurance as has been suggested.

He’s too good to simply be insurance.

The Dodgers just made their starting lineup better, and their bench better.  I feel bad for Joc but he should have played better.  His play in CF has been shall we say less than inspiring.  Hopefully, the new batting stance will help him with the hitting tool, but I don’t think they can do much about his fielding tool.  Seems strange, but in April/May of 2015 I thought he was playing a great CF, but he already seems to have lost a step and the routes just don’t seem good enough these days.

Update 08/19/17 – Looks like Joc is being sent to AAA for a few weeks.

12 months of the Puig elevator

A professional baseball players career is going to be full of ups and downs, but for Yasiel Puig the last twelve months have been quite the elevator ride.

On July 31st, 2016 Puig had three hits culminating his July with an overall OPS of .806 which had followed his June OPS of .826.  The elevator is on the 5th floor.

His reward for being a productive offensive player and possibly the best Dodger outfielder was to be sent to AAA on August 1st, 2016.  Puig went from being the Dodgers best hitting outfielder to playing in Oklahoma. From planes to buses.  An attitude adjustment was the prognosis.  Elevator has reached the basement.

Pundits said he was a cancer

During his first week with Oklahoma, he tweeted about a big team party and was derided in many publications as a man who simply wouldn’t grow up.  The Dodgers said they sent him OKC with specific instructions on what they wanted him to work on. Being a better teammate might have been involved.

Puig destroyed AAA but was not brought back in August. Word got out that he had been placed on waivers and claimed by the Brewers. The Dodgers were trying to make a waiver deal with the Brewers before time ran out. Supposedly it would have involved the huge contract of Ryan Braun.

Pundits predicted that Puig would never wear a Dodger uniform again.

Meanwhile, in Los Angeles, the player the Dodgers acquired to replace Puig had just finished one of the worst months in LAD history for an outfielder.

Player             Split  G Year PA  OPS
Eric Young        August 24 1992 75 .359
Tommy Davis       August 23 1961 79 .373
Josh Reddick      August 25 2016 94 .396
Don Demeter       August 19 1958 56 .401
Franklin Stubbs   August 25 1986 87 .453
Devon White       August 21 1999 86 .465
Willie Crawford   August 23 1971 81 .468
Bill North        August 21 1978 70 .469
Ron Fairly        August 28 1967 78 .470
Brett Butler      August 21 1997 81 .480
Juan Samuel       August 23 1990 68 .484

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/17/2017.

Puig was finally reinstated to the Dodger team in Sept when teams are allowed to flaunt the roster rules they play with from April – August.  Dodger management said that Puig had done everything they had asked of him in OKC and was being rewarded by being brought back to the Dodgers.  The Josh Reddick .396 OPS in August as his replacement is not mentioned.  Elevator heads back up to the 3rd floor

Pundits rolled their eyes

Puig would put up a .900 OPS in Sept playing mostly against LHP. The elevator moves up to the 6th floor.

Puig would once again fail to make an impact in October and went into the winter with his job very much in doubt. Elevator drops to 2nd floor

Pundits predicted he would be traded during the winter

Puig survives the winter and comes into spring as the Dodger starting right-fielder.

All the right things are being said about Puig, as he goes through a quiet spring. No reports of the ball booming off his bat, or Puig being a bad teammate, of Puig, at all.

Puig is entering his age 26 season. Many a Dodger has had a career season at age 26.  The elevator moves to the fifth floor in anticipation of a successful 2017. 

Puig starts out the year with a bang with four home runs and 1.132 OPS by April 15th. The elevator moves up to the 7th floor with expectations that it will ride higher.

Puig hits a slump and his OPS drops to the low .700 for much of May/June.  The elevator drops back to the 3rd floor.

Pundits say this is who Puig is,  an average to good player but will never see the star potential that he displayed in 2013 and 2014.

Through all of this Puig is playing the best right field any Dodger fan has seen since the days of Raul Mondesi and Reggie Smith.

Puig gets it going and by the end of June has moved his OPS back to .800 where it has stayed for almost two months.  Elevator rides back up to the 7th floor.

During all this time Puig has been hitting from the eighth hole and proven to be the best eight hitter in baseball.

With the lack of clutch hitting still being the piano on his back, Puig comes to the plate on July 14th and hits a game winning three run home run off of the Marlins ace reliever pitcher AJ Ramos.  Elevator gets a jump start and finds itself on the 9th floor for the first time.

Did I mention that Puig continues to play gold glove caliber right field?  Just about every game he makes a play that only Puig could make. Taking a home run away from JD Martinez, throwing out runners at home with 260 foot on the fly throws.  He’s gotten so good in RF that he’s starting to catch the casual fly ball with aplomb much to the delight and chagrin of the broadcast team of Joe/Orel.  Elevator has cruised to the 10th floor.

On Aug 16th, Puig comes through once again, this time with a walk off double to complete a 5-4 come from behind win putting the Dodgers 51 games over .500.

Puig is no longer batting eighth.

Puig is now a teammate

Puig is now getting Gatorade baths not just giving them

The Wild Horse is loose and running wild

The elevator is now sitting at the penthouse, a place it has not been since July of 2014.

My favorite Dodger was traded on this date

Yankees Dodgers World Series 1981

Hat tip to Ernest Reyes at Dodger Blue Heaven for reminding me that Pedro Guerrero was traded on this date in 1988.  At the time of the trade, Pedro was the second best hitter on a fairly anemic offensive team.  He was traded for John Tudor who I already disliked as a Cardinal and nothing he did as a Dodger changed my feelings.  Tudor would make nine starts for the Dodgers and one horrible postseason start. Not like he was a difference maker.

I can’t complain, as it all worked out, but even now I’m now sure how trading Pedro made the Dodgers a better team in 1981 unless it was addition by subtraction.  Maybe they thought Franklyn Stubbs would hit better. Whatever, they won an inconceivable World Championship so they must have known what they were doing.

The Dodgers acquired Pedro at the age of seventeen from the Indians in one of the greatest trades in Dodger history.  Pedro came up in 1980 for good at the age of 24 and never stopped hitting. At the age of 25 he helped lead the old Dodgers to the 1981 World Championship with the second highest OPS+ on the team.

By the time he was traded in 1988, Pedro had put up three of the top five offensive seasons in LAD history.   He was pretty much the greatest offensive LAD until Mike Piazza showed up.

Player           HR OPS+ Year Age  PA   OPS      Pos
Pedro Guerrero   33  182 1985  29 581  .999 *7538/H9
Reggie Smith     32  168 1977  32 603 1.003    *9/8H
Reggie Smith     29  162 1978  33 531  .942    *9/H8
Pedro Guerrero   32  156 1982  26 652  .914     *985
Pedro Guerrero   27  154 1987  31 630  .955    *73/H
Jim Wynn         32  151 1974  32 656  .884     *8/H
Dick Allen       23  151 1971  29 649  .863    573/H

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.

From 1981 – 1987 he was the best hitter on the Dodgers and it wasn’t close. Using 1,000 plate appearances as a minimum requirement which seems decent given we are looking at a seven-year span.

Player           OPS+   PA From   To  HR   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
Pedro Guerrero    150 3818 1981 1988 162 .309 .384 .514 .898
Dusty Baker       122 1694 1981 1983  47 .291 .356 .432 .788
Mike Marshall     118 3127 1981 1988 126 .273 .325 .455 .780
Greg Brock        108 1737 1982 1986  71 .233 .326 .412 .739
John Shelby       106 1063 1987 1988  31 .270 .319 .429 .747
Steve Garvey      105 1121 1981 1982  26 .282 .309 .415 .724
Mike Scioscia     100 3143 1981 1988  34 .263 .352 .354 .705

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.

Alex Wood shows both sides of the win

Keith Law has a great book out right now called Smart Baseball telling us in one of the early chapters how wins are a ridiculous stat because so much of a win is team based. I’ve gotten through about five chapters so far and have learned nothing new except on how to tell baseball fans why baseball card stats suck using many many words. Don’t get me wrong, I am enjoying the book, but for someone who learned from Bill James thirty years ago about how to properly view baseball stats, the first few chapters are not eye openers. I do look forward to the ensuing chapters and really enjoyed the vitriol displayed toward the save stat which I may hate even more than Keith Law, and he really hates it.

Alex Wood showed last night why the win is a crappy stat as he pitched seven beautiful innings, only to leave with the game tied 1 – 1. His team would earn the win by blowing open the game in the bottom of the eighth after Brandon Morrow had pitched a clean top of the eighth. Brandon Morrow pitched one inning and was credited with the win. Alex Wood pitched seven innings of one run ball and got nothing.

Still…………………

I can’t quite give up my back of the baseball card winning percentage love.  Ron Perranowski and Phil Regan blew me away with their winning percentages.

And right now, Alex Wood has the best winning percentage amoung starters with at least fourteen wins.  So while 5/6 of me has moved on from the win, that 1/6 still sees some kind of beauty in a plus .900 winning percentage.

Player          W-L%  W L Year Age    IP  ERA  FIP OPS+
Alex Wood       .933 14 1 2017  26 117.1 2.30 2.70   54
Greg Maddux     .905 19 2 1995  29 209.2 1.63 2.26   29
Randy Johnson   .900 18 2 1995  31 214.1 2.48 2.08   48

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.

All the young dudes

Much like the Cubs of 2016, the Dodgers great season is being fueled by youth.  The team is 50 games over .500 and the lineup is loaded with players 26 or younger.

Chris Taylor and Yasiel Puig are both 26

Joc Pederson is 25

Corey Seager is 23

Cody Bellinger is 21

Five of the regular lineup is 26 or younger.  The two catchers are 28 and 27 and Barnes is enjoying his first full season in the majors at 27.

The outliers are at 2nd base where either greybeards like  Logan Forsythe or Chase Utley hold court,  or the redbeard at 3rd base.

For example. At age 21 Cody Bellinger has the most home runs for any Dodger at the age of 21. He could double the previous record of 20 by future HOF Adrian Beltre.

Player           HR Year Age  Tm  PA  OPS
Cody Bellinger   34 2017  21 LAD 411 .975
Adrian Beltre    20 2000  21 LAD 575 .835
Willie Davis     12 1961  21 LAD 380 .767
Tommy Davis      11 1960  21 LAD 374 .728
Howie Schultz    11 1944  21 BRO 556 .680
Ed Stevens       10 1946  21 BRO 340 .728

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.
At age 22, Corey Seager had the most home runs by a Dodger at the age of 22. I’d expect Cody Bellinger to smash that record in 2018. Along with every other Dodger home run record.  Yasiel Puig is also on the list with his nineteen home runs in only 432 plate appearances in 2013.

Player            HR Year Age  PA  OPS
Corey Seager      26 2016  22 687 .877
Duke Snider       23 1949  22 615 .854
Willie Davis      21 1962  22 666 .787
Yasiel Puig       19 2013  22 432 .925
Tommy Davis       15 1961  22 508 .738
Pete Reiser       14 1941  22 601 .964
Adrian Beltre     13 2001  22 515 .720
Willie Crawford   11 1969  22 440 .732
Wayne Belardi     11 1953  22 180 .796
Jimmy Sheckard    11 1901  22 609 .944
Matt Kemp         10 2007  22 311 .894
Ron Fairly        10 1961  22 301 .956

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.
Three current Dodgers on the list for most home runs by a Dodger at the age of 23. Corey Seager still has eight weeks to climb up this ladder. He won’t catch HOF Duke Snider but he might catch the all-time LAD home run leader Tommy Davis at 27.

Player          HR Year Age  PA  OPS
Duke Snider     31 1950  23 684 .932
Tommy Davis     27 1962  23 711 .910
Joc Pederson    26 2015  23 585 .763
Frank Howard    23 1960  23 487 .784
Adrian Beltre   21 2002  23 635 .729
Corey Seager    19 2017  23 475 .917
Matt Kemp       18 2008  23 657 .799
Mike Marshall   17 1983  23 518 .782
Yasiel Puig     16 2014  23 640 .863
Raul Mondesi    16 1994  23 454 .849
James Loney     15 2007  23 375 .919

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.

I could go on and on with leaderboard after leaderboard, but I’ll leave that for November.

Chavez Ravine domination

If you have been going to the Ravine to watch the Dodgers since Cody Bellinger joined the team the odds have been in your favor that you will have watched another Dodger home victory.  Overall the Dodgers are fifty games over .500 with a winning percentage of .712 which is insane, but at home they take that up a notch with a record of 50 – 14 for a home winning percentage of .781.

Dodger fans in Los Angeles are witnessing something no other Los Angeles fans have ever seen, and this franchise has five World Championships since moving to Los Angeles.

When you look at the offensive splits, it is very clear why the team wins at home.

  • They have two full time players with an OPS over 1.000
  • They have five players with an OPS over .900 including both catchers
  • The only regular who does not have an OPS over .800 is Logan Forsythe.
Player              Split Year   OPS  PA   BA  OBP  SLG
Justin Turner        Home 2017 1.042 195 .348 .446 .596
Cody Bellinger       Home 2017 1.004 217 .289 .378 .626
Corey Seager         Home 2017  .919 253 .305 .391 .527
Austin Barnes        Home 2017  .917  92 .274 .424 .493
Yasmani Grandal      Home 2017  .911 195 .317 .354 .557
Andrew Toles         Home 2017  .874  59 .321 .356 .518
Chris Taylor         Home 2017  .833 214 .277 .341 .492
Joc Pederson         Home 2017  .828 144 .223 .340 .488
Chase Utley          Home 2017  .825 148 .268 .361 .465
Yasiel Puig          Home 2017  .806 218 .243 .335 .471
Enrique Hernandez    Home 2017  .777 150 .215 .315 .462
Adrian Gonzalez      Home 2017  .656 111 .262 .306 .350
Logan Forsythe       Home 2017  .591 167 .209 .317 .273

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.

Let’s compare that to the road splits:

Geezus, the top of the lineup is filled with hitting monsters.  Very little difference really in the big four plus Puig. Logan hits better on the road, while Grandal/Joc/Chase have struggled on the road.

Player              Split Year   OPS  PA
Chris Taylor         Away 2017 1.020 186
Justin Turner        Away 2017  .970 194
Austin Barnes        Away 2017  .953  84
Cody Bellinger       Away 2017  .944 194
Corey Seager         Away 2017  .916 222
Yasiel Puig          Away 2017  .794 204
Logan Forsythe       Away 2017  .772 143
Enrique Hernandez    Away 2017  .748 119
Joc Pederson         Away 2017  .664 148
Yasmani Grandal      Away 2017  .628 162
Adrian Gonzalez      Away 2017  .623  71
Chase Utley          Away 2017  .622 124

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/16/2017.

OTDIB – 08/16/1964 – Sandy Koufax ruptures elbow

The Dodgers were playing the Cardinals in a double header and ran into double trouble. Sandy Koufax was once again the best pitcher in the NL but had his season cut short because of a play as a baserunner in the 7th inning.  Koufax had walked and slid safely into second base as Maury Wills was forced at 1st base. He would rupture his elbow on a pickup play but stay in the game, not knowing he had received an injury that would plague him the rest of his career.

He would finish the game with thirteen strikeouts and a 3 – 0 shutout.  As I recall from his bio he woke up the next day with his elbow this size of a softball and would not pitch again the rest of the year. This kind of bears this out:

nor a badly ruptured elbow when he dove back to second base in a Tony Cloninger pick-off attempt in 1964, after which he had “to drag my arm out of bed like a log.”

The problem with this link is that Tony Cloninger did not pitch in this game.

So, let that sink in.

He had an injury that would finish his season, but he still pitched the final two innings to complete the game and shutout.

He would still lead the NL in ERA, ERA+, FIP, WHIP, and SO9.  It didn’t have any impact on the postseason aspirations of the current World Champions as the Cardinals had a double digit lead on them.

The Cardinals were loaded that year with 1964 MVP Ken Boyer and a center fielder named Curt Flood. Flood would have eight straight hits in the double header. He collected four hits in the first game against Koufax, and four more straight hits in the second game. Flood had eight straight hits in the double header before Ron Perranoski struck him out in the 9th inning.

Curt Flood was one of the most important players to ever play the game, and every single major league player from 1972 on, owe him an immense debt. 

Not only did Flood refuse to go, but he went to his personal lawyer and then to Marvin Miller, founder and executive director of the Players Association, and told them he wanted to sue Major League Baseball. The decision sent shock waves not only through baseball but ultimately through all professional sports. Those waves reverberate even to this day. And though he was aware that it would cost him dearly, he never wavered.

 

Corey Seager is double trouble

Only future HOF Adrian Beltre has had more doubles than Corey Seager at age 23 in a Los Angeles Dodger uniform.  However, for every thing Corey Seager is going to do, Cody Bellinger is probably eventually going to pass him.

Player           2B From   To   Age   PA  OPS
Adrian Beltre   114 1998 2002 19-23 2553 .756
Corey Seager     78 2015 2017 21-23 1272 .901
Willie Davis     62 1960 1963 20-23 1695 .738
Yasiel Puig      58 2013 2014 22-23 1072 .888
Tommy Davis      58 1959 1962 20-23 1594 .812
Matt Kemp        57 2006 2008 21-23 1134 .816
Bill Buckner     52 1969 1973 19-23 1466 .676

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/15/2017.