Young Joc

Joc Pederson could do one thing really really well, get extra-base hits against right-handed pitchers, and he’ll take that skill with him to Anaheim where for the 2nd straight year he’ll be playing next to an MVP Center-fielder.

All of the charts below came from Fangraphs, and are based on playing the outfield with at least 2,000 Plate Appearances.

With Young Joc gone, we can look at his historical impact on the LAD. Using 2,000 PA as the cutoff he will end up with some interesting numbers.  Joc checks in 10th in home runs with 123, the exact same number as Frank Howard. His wRC+ would rank 14th at 120. His slug% would rank 9th at .474.  His fWAR, however, puts him 16th. Joc could rack up good metrics because he pounded right-hand pitching and thus was always put in the best possible chance to succeed. Contrast this with Andre who also struggled against left-hand pitchers but still faced them on a regular basis. For example, Andre garnered 1374 PA against LHP while Joc only had 375 plate appearances.

Fun fact. Frank Howard hit 123 home runs as a Dodger and was traded when he was 27. He would go onto hit 246 home runs after being traded. 

 

Name PA HR wRC+ Off WAR
Matt Kemp 5002 203 127 174.2 26.7
Pedro Guerrero 4089 171 150 233.1 32.5
Raul Mondesi 3765 163 120 101.7 20.4
Shawn Green 3462 162 129 125.2 18.7
Andre Ethier 5425 162 122 143.7 24.2
Willie Davis 8035 154 106 85.3 48.6
Dusty Baker 4552 144 120 102.7 20.5
Mike Marshall 3546 137 119 66.9 11.3
Gary Sheffield 2276 129 158 175.7 18.3
Joc Pederson 2379 123 120 60.1 13.1
Frank Howard 2321 123 125 68.2 10.6
Yasiel Puig 2765 108 129 86.3 16.7
Reggie Smith 2055 97 152 123.3 19.9
Joe Ferguson 2525 91 121 59.6 16.4
Ron Fairly 4529 90 112 62.4 13.2
Tommy Davis 3216 86 117 63.4 15.5
Willie Crawford 3198 74 119 65.9 18.1
Ken Landreaux 2981 64 99 0.5 7.8
Wally Moon 2657 64 122 68.9 12.2
Bill Buckner 3081 38 99 2.3 10.8
Brett Butler 3342 14 120 77.4 14
Manny Mota 2187 12 118 42.2 10.4

Sometimes when you do the research for a story you come across something that blows your mind. The defensive metrics for LAD outfielders blew mine. I knew Willie Davis had been an above-average outfielder, I saw it with my own eyes, but the metrics still blew my mind.  The LAD have had only four outfielders able to manage a positive defensive ranking but the difference between 1st and 2nd place is astonishing. It also shows that the Dodgers haven’t had a long term quality defensive CF since Willie Davis and he was traded back in 1974.

Check this out:

Name PA Def WAR
Willie Davis 8035 102.7 48.6
Joe Ferguson 2525 13.2 16.4
Reggie Smith 2055 0.4 19.9
Bill Buckner 3081 0.3 10.8
Willie Crawford 3198 -1.1 18.1
Joc Pederson 2379 -7 13.1
Raul Mondesi 3765 -13.5 20.4
Yasiel Puig 2765 -14.3 16.7
Manny Mota 2187 -17.9 10.4
Tommy Davis 3216 -24.8 15.5
Ken Landreaux 2981 -25.6 7.8
Wally Moon 2657 -40.6 12.2
Frank Howard 2321 -46.9 10.6
Shawn Green 3462 -47.7 18.7
Brett Butler 3342 -51.4 14
Dusty Baker 4552 -55.6 20.5
Gary Sheffield 2276 -56 18.3
Pedro Guerrero 4089 -58.4 32.5
Matt Kemp 5002 -71.7 26.7
Mike Marshall 3546 -75.1 11.3
Andre Ethier 5425 -78.2 24.2
Ron Fairly 4529 -91.3 13.2

Hopefully, Cody Bellinger plays CF for the next five or more years and can at least make a run as the 2nd best LAD defensive CF of all time. Not a hard bar to pass.

 

3 Comments

  1. Good insights here, Phil.

    Like

  2. Thanks Steve. Still chugging away

    Like

  3. 68elcamino427

    FRANK HOWARD

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: