Dodger new found frugality not resonating with all fans
This Monday night I had an interesting conversation with an enlightened lifelong Dodger fan who is very unhappy the Dodgers have stopped trying to buy a World Championship. His season ticket prices have doubled over the past five years and he feels that this is no time for the franchise to become frugal.
This conversation was kick started when I declared how I found this winter very exciting because the Dodgers are actually playing within a rule instead of outside of it. Every move they have made this winter has been about getting below the luxury tax so that the penalties are reset. Once Guggenheim purchased the Dodgers for $2.5 Billion in April of 2012 you had to expect that ownership would go about running the franchise with the goal of winning and providing decent ROI for the investors. When the payroll hit the quarter million mark within a year I was told the mind-boggling payroll and foreign investment in context to the rest of baseball was needed to repair the infrastructure damage of the McCourt administration. That eventually the organization would play within the rules and concentrate on using the farm system they rebuilt as a more sustainable way of building a team that would compete for the postseason every year.
It took five years but the Dodger organization after paying $150 million in luxury tax penalties is finally saying enough is enough. They have accomplished their goals.
They have won the NL Western Division every year since 2013.
They have made the farm system the envy of baseball with two straight ROY, with players who are legitimate MVP candidates.
The foreign investment has been spotty but it has resulted in the starting RF for the past five years.
They kept the best pitcher in baseball a Dodger while paying him over $100 million in the past three years.
They rebuilt the scouting and development organizations and you can see how other organizations value what they did by raiding the team this past year.
They found a worthy successor to HOF Vin Scully in Joe Davis.
You can nitpick about some of their choices, but at the end of the day, they came within one game of the ultimate goal, the National Championship.
Their biggest failure was not on the field but in not finding a way for all of Los Angeles to watch the Dodger success over the past five years. This failure may trump everything else they have done, as they lose longtime fans who can no longer follow the team, along with future fans that they can’t cultivate because they can’t watch the team. That devil deal with Time Warner allowed the Dodgers to spend like no team has ever spent before and is why fans don’t understand why they have stopped spending. They have the right to ask that question.
I think lost in that question is that the team was purchased by a management group where profit is always the reason for investment not as a social toy for a billionaire like Ballmer of the Clippers. The Dodgers may have been making money at their current spending levels but were they making enough? I have no idea what ROI the investment group was expecting when they spent $2.5 Billion for the Dodgers but I think we have found the answer this winter in that they expect the ROI going forward to be a little more generous than it was from 2012 – 2017.
And I’m fine with it. I’m embracing it. I like it when I can see an actual goal. The goal now is to find a way to win a World Championship while spending as much as possible for one year without getting hit with any luxury tax penalties so that they are reset for next winter. If the organization can’t do it, they shouldn’t use the lack of resources as a reason.
They simply weren’t smart or lucky enough.
Dodgers whiff on Baseball America top 20 league lists for 2017 Draft
A few days back Craig Minami over at TBLA in the comment section mentioned that no Dodger draft picks from 2017 made any Baseball America top 20 prospect lists that they compile for each league. This was only the second time this century that has happened. The last time was 2013
I don’t put much weight on these lists since as I’m not the biggest fan of Baseball America prospect work. You can just look at the 2016 lists to understand why I feel this way. Gavin Lux was the Dodger number one pick and he, of course, made the list from the Arizona Rookie League. Not making any lists were DJ Peters, Dustin May, Will Smith, and Mitch White. All four of them will probably be ranked higher than Gavin Lux in the latest version of the Baseball America LAD top 30 list.
I just thought it would be interesting to take a look at them.
2002 – James Loney (No. 1 prospect in Pioneer League)
2003 – Chad Billingeley (No. 2 prospect in Pioneer League)
2004 – Scott Elbert (No. 6 prospect in Pioneer League)
2005 – Luke Hochevar (did not sign), Ivan De Jesus (No. 18 prospect in Gulf Coast League)
2006 – Clayton Kershaw ( No. 1 prospect in GCL)
2007 – Chris Withrow (was not named to a postseason prospect team), Austin Gallagher (No. 7 prospect in Pioneer League)
2008 – Ethan Martin (did not pitch in 2008), Kyle Russell (No. 10 prospect Pioneer League)
2009 – Aaron Miller (was not named to a postseason prospect team), Brett Wallach (No. 16 prospect in Pioneer League)
2010 – Zach Lee (did not pitch in 2010), Ralston Cash (No. 20 prospect in Arizona League)
2011 – Chris Reed (was not named to a postseason prospect team), Alex Santana ( No. 13 prospect in Arizona League)
2012 – Corey Seager ( No. 4 prospect in Pioneer League)
2013 – No Dodger draft pick named to a 2013 postseason Top 20 team
2014 – Grant Holmes ( No. 2 prospect in Arizona League)
2015 – Walker Buehler (did not pitch in 2015), Willie Calhoun (No. 11 prospect in Pioneer League)
2016 – Gavin Lux (No. 9 prospect in Arizona League)
2017 – No Dodger draft pick named to a 2017 postseason Top 20 team.Posted by bhsportsguy on Dec 29, 2017 | 11:59 AM reply unrec (1)
Before we decry the 2017 Dodger draft let’s delve deeper into this. The Dodgers number one pick in 2017 was Jeren Kendall the athletic college outfielder. Kendall lit up the rookie league while playing for Ogden but he only stayed there for 22 plate appearances before being promoted to the Loons of the MidWest league. The MWL is a tough league and many a prospect has struggled in their first taste of the league. Jeren Kendall was no exception as he posted an anemic .690 OPS in 155 plate appearances. Even more problematic for Kendall was that he struck out 42 times in those 155 plate appearances. It is little wonder that Kendall was unable to crack the top 20 list for the MWL.
Morgan Cooper was the Dodgers second round pick but he did not pitch after being drafted.
The Dodgers best hope to crack a list was Connor Wong who had a strong professional debut putting up a .830 OPS in the tough MWL but he didn’t make the cut.
8th round pick Rylan Bannon had a strong season for Ogden putting up an OPS of 1.016 but he was 21 in a prospect rookie league.
You can’t judge a draft after 1/2 a season of professional ball but the 2017 draft does not seem to be as strong as the 2016 draft which has Will Smith, Mitch White, Dustin May, and DJ Peters as players to keep an eye on.
All of this could change quickly if Jeren Kendall can turn his uber athletic skills into a more advanced batting approach and if Morgan Cooper shows something when he finally takes the mound.
In 2015 Willie Calhoun was the only Dodger to make the lists but the number one pitching prospect in baseball is now Walker Buehler who was in the same draft.
2014 had Grant Holmes make the lists but he quickly fell out of favor and was eventually traded. In fact, the players traded from the lists above include Willie Calhoun, Grant Holmes, Chris Reed, Zach Lee, Ethan Martin, and Chris Withrow. The jury is still out on Holmes and Calhoun but none of the others managed any type of major league career.
Let’s check back a year from now and see if any of the 2017 draft have great seasons and put themselves on the map like Dustin May, DJ Peters, and Mitch White did.
Who do you think BA may have whiffed on from the class of 2017? I”m going to bet on Jeren Kendall.
Dodgers building a nice rotation in the bullpen
Some teams are building a bullpen by signing pitchers who have been relief pitchers for most of their careers. For example, the Rockies have signed Bryan Shaw, Jake McGee, and Wade Davis in the past month. Combined those three pitchers have made zero starts over the past three years. The Rockies will be paying them a combined $100M over the next three years. That is one way to build a bullpen. Buy bonafide relief pitchers.
The Dodgers are going about it a bit different. Last summer they traded for Tony Cingrani who …………damn, I thought Cingrani had started a few games for the Reds last year and a bunch in 2016 but that is not the case. Cingrani has not started a game since 2015. It is possible the premise for my column is going to blow up in my face. Still, we can say that Cingrani is definitely a converted major league starter who has made thirty major league starts.
Let’s try again.
How about Tom Koehler, that seems like a safe bet. Koehler started thirteen out of seventeen games last year. The reason the Dodgers traded for him was because of his success as a relief pitcher for Toronto, but we are talking only 14 games. Overall Koehler has started 133 out of 161 games. That works.
Kenley Jansen – Nope, converted catcher though
Pedro Baez – Nope, converted 3rd baseman though
Kimi Garcia – Nope
Scott Alexander – Nope
Adam Liberatore – Nope
Eduardo Paredes – Nope
Josh Fields – Nope
Ross Stripling – Yup, Ross made fourteen starts in 2016 and two starts in 2017. Woot
Brock Stewart – Yup, Brock has started nine of his twenty-four major league games. Woot
Wilmer Font – Yup, Font started every game he pitched in the minors last year.
So what do we have? We know for sure that Tom Koehler and Tony Cingrani are going to be in the bullpen as long as they are healthy.
It does seem a stretch to have Ross, Brock, and Wilmer also in the bullpen. Ross and Brock could both be starting in AAA, though I think both of them would be more valuable to the team if they are utilized out of the bullpen unless Baez and Garcia come back strong this year.
Font is in a pickle because he is out of minor league options. Even though he didn’t impress in Sept it was only three games and the Dodgers did add him to the 40 man roster. I’m in his corner and hope he kills it this spring and makes the team and becomes the next name of a big minor league starter who converted to the bullpen and created a major league career. Maybe the next Latroy Hawkins.
I may have jumped the gun with this article but come July 20th, if the bullpen consists of Koehler, Cingrani, Stewart, Stripling, and Font, I’ll look back at this and smile. If they are any good.
I’m also curious what the Dodgers are going to do with Henry Owens and Manny Banuelos who are both career minor league starters that the Dodger signed this winter. They are both WAL (Wild Ass Lefties) who were once top pitching prospects. Manny was ranked as high as number 12 overall in 2012. Owens ranked as high as #19 overall in 2015. History has proven that a tweak or two could change any WAL into a weapon (Andrew Miller). They both have legit major league stuff, they just don’t have command or control which is why there were available. These are the guys you gamble on. I don’t know if the Dodger plan is to convert them to relief or not but it would sense given that Dodgers have Buehler, White, Santana, and Alveraz already in the system, not to mention Julio Urias as starters for the future. Only Buehler should be counted on to make starts in 2018.
Dodgers shake up bullpen
In a three-team deal, the Dodgers traded left-handed bullpen piece Luis Avilan while picking up left-handed bullpen piece Scott Alexander. It has been trendy lately to call Scott Alexander a Zach Britton clone and that is what Fangraph’s Tavis Sawchik went with in his headline.
Dodgers grab Zach Britton Lite in three-team deal
Travis focused on the upside of Alexander and gave plenty of ammunition on why he’s considered a Zach Britton clone.
In a year marked by fly balls, home runs, launch angles, and juiced balls, Alexander was, by some measures, the top ground-ball arm in the game in 2017. The approach led him to a 2.48 ERA, 3.23 FIP, and 56 ERA- last season over 69 innings. He emerged, quietly, as one of the better relievers in the game.
Among pitchers who threw at last 20 innings last year, Alexander led baseball in ground-ball rate (73.6%). He was one of only three pitchers to post a mark of 70% or greater, joining Marc Rzepczynski (70.0%) and Zach Britton (72.8%) in that small club. And it is Britton who could become a frequent comp for Alexander, thanks to latter’s darting sinker and handedness.
To get the upside of Alexander the Dodgers had to give up something and that something was Trevor Oaks. Oaks was starting depth insurance for the Dodgers for 2018 but for the Royals he will probably slot right into the rotation. This is good for Oaks, so he probably benefits quite a bit from this deal as his major league clock will likely get started in 2018. Many things would have had to go wrong with the Dodger rotation for Oaks to crack it in 2018. Oaks was a nice prospect but he was probably the 9th option assuming the Dodgers made no other deals headed into 2018.
Kershaw, Hill, Wood, Maeda, Ryu, Stewart, Buehler, Stripling, Oaks, and Font. I personally would have had Font in front of Oaks. Suffice to say, the Dodger rotation depth didn’t really take a hit with this deal though I’ve been reading that some felt Oaks was going to have an impact for the Dodgers in 2018. I didn’t see it myself. I guess I’m still a Brock Stewart fan and expect him to be the guy, not the AAA pitcher who missed 1/2 a season. Or I’m a fan of the top pitching prospect for the Dodgers getting a shot before the guy who missed 1/2 a year last year. Or the guy who was the PCL pitcher of the year before the guy who missed 1/2 a year last year. You get my drift.
I think when you can trade the guy who is number nine on your starting depth chart and is not a top ten prospect for someone expected to be the setup man for Kenley Jansen, you have probably made a good trade. I’m glad the Royals took Trevor Oaks instead of Dennis Santana so I’ll be curious to see how the two careers pan out going forward.
By all accounts Trevor Oaks was a good guy, but so is Scott Alexander. I like the deal from all the angles including the prospect they got Jake Peter an infielder/outfielder who I’d expect to slot in between the 15 – 20 spots in the Dodger prospect hierarchy.
The Dodger bullpen currently looks like this:
Kenley Jansen
Scott Alexander, Tony Cingrani, Liberatore, Paredes
Tom Koehler, Pedro Baez, Yimi Garcia, Ross Stripling, Josh Fields
With Stewart and Font.
Crowded at the moment but spring training usually takes care of a few of those names as arms develop issues that they don’t have in January.
Basically, Alexander has replaced Watson.
Koehler has replaced Morrow.
That may not sound sexy but I wonder if a year from now if it won’t look sexy. I may be too much of a Brock Stewart fan, time will tell.
I’m doing my best to not talk about Julio Urias.
Kiké rides tall in Rose Parade
The Dodgers partner with the City of Hope on annual “Think Cure” cancer research fundraisers. As the Hernandez family scrambled to learn the options for treating multiple myeloma, the Dodgers put Enrique in touch with Forman, a renowned oncologist who previously had worked with executives and employees referred by the team.

MLB did a story this morning about Kiké and his father riding the City of Hope float.
The Kiké Hernandez story for 2017 was one of redemption. 2016 was a lost year for the utility player as he was unable to compete mentally with major league baseball in 2016 after learning about his father’s battle with Multiple myeloma a cancer of the bone marrow. For fans, they just saw a player struggling and looked at the metrics and concluded that Herandez simply wasn’t very good discounting the outstanding season he had with the Dodgers in 2015.
Headed into 2017, Hernandez had to win a job and the competition was fierce as Chris Taylor had come out of nowhere to wow the Dodger staff in spring training. Charlie Culberson was also in the picture but eventually, both of them were sent to AAA and Hernandez had won the coveted utility role because he could play both infield and outfield.
Now that his father was in remission, Hernandez turned his full attention to baseball and was a valuable player for the Dodgers during the regular season. Showing off his versatility, Hernandez played all over the diamond with 34 games in CF, 28 games in LF, 24 games at Shortstop, 18 games in RF, 14 games at 3rd base, 9 games at 2nd base, and even 3 games at 1st base. He did all this while putting up an outstanding .946 OPS against LHP.
Kiké saved his best for last perhaps having the greatest single postseason game in Los Angeles Dodger history, he slugged three homes in game five of the NLCS to lead the Dodgers into the World Series.
Player Date Series Rslt PA 2B 3B HR TB RBI Enrique Hernandez 2017-10-19 NLCS W 11-1 5 0 0 3 12 7 Steve Garvey 1978-10-04 NLCS W 9-5 5 0 1 2 11 4 Eric Karros 1995-10-04 NLDS L 4-5 5 1 0 2 10 4 Steve Garvey 1974-10-09 NLCS W 12-1 5 0 0 2 10 4 Duke Snider 1955-10-02 WS W 5-3 4 1 0 2 10 2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 1/2/2018.
As we head into 2018 we can probably count on Kiké to be the right-handed platoon partner for whoever wins the left job against right-hand pitching. I think we can also count on him to clobber them and give the Dodgers more heroics in 2018.
Dodger prospect busts 1990 – 1999

Last week we took a look at the Dodger prospect busts of the 21st century. Today we will take a look at the busts from 1990 – 1999. Thanks to an old Dodger Thoughts column by Jon Weisman I was able to find this link to all of the Baseball America Top 100 lists from 1990 – 2005 which helped jog my memory.
Before we hit the busts we should briefly applaud the prospects who made it. They didn’t’ just make it, they made it big.
Paul Konerko, Adrian Beltre, Todd Hollandsworth, Chan Ho Park, Raul Mondesi, Mike Piazza, Pedro Martinez, and Eric Karros. That is two current HOF and one for sure in Adrian Beltre. Konerko will roam the Hall of the Very Good. Unfortunately for the Dodgers other than Piazza they didn’t do any of their HOF work with the Dodgers. Martinez, Beltre, and Konerko were gone from the team before they were 26 years old.
Darren Dreifort is a tough player to grade. He wasn’t a major league bust but when you are the 2nd pick in the draft and go straight from college to the major leagues you expect more from a career than what Darren was able to provide. Baseball America ranked Darren as the 11th best prospect in 1994. Even before injuries ended his career he was an enigma to me. Advanced stats that are available in 2017 might be have helped enlighten the enigma back in the 1990’s. His stuff looked as unhittable as any pitcher I’d seen but hitters didn’t really seem to have a problem hitting him. He was good (barely) but he was never great. For a guy drafted right after possibly the greatest infielder in the history of baseball, that is a big fall.
Karim Garcia looked like he was going to be a star for the Dodgers. He was only 19 and was already pummeling AAA. Headed into his age 20 season Baseball America marked him as the 7th best prospect in baseball. His first few years he struggled in the majors but he was still extremely young when Arizona poached him in the expansion draft in 1997. I was livid but it turned out the Dodgers were right in exposing him in the draft. I expected great things from Karim but it never happened to him. Karim had a long career but only managed 1500 plate appearances in ten years and other than one year in 2002 was never ever to put those tools to proper use.
Was Jose Offerman a bust? Baseball America ranked him as the 4th best prospect in baseball in 1991. Offerman would end up with a fifteen-year career but over 1/2 of his 13 fWAR was collected in just two years with Royals. I was so in on Offerman as a prospect that I actually collected his minor league cards. When he hit a home run in his first major league game on Aug 19th, 1990 I felt that Jose Offerman would be the greatest shortstop the Los Angeles Dodgers would have had up to that point. It was not to be. Mainly because Jose Offerman was a horrible shortstop. Horrible. Even when the Royals turned out to be smarter than the Dodgers by moving him to 2nd base he still couldn’t field well enough to help his team. Not once in his fifteen-year career did he post a positive dWAR. His carer dWAR is -56. I was harder on Jose Offerman than I was on most Dodgers who don’t pan out. I really expected him to be something. It was not his fault he wasn’t but in 1995 he became one of the few Dodgers I’ve ever booed.
In the 1989 draft the Dodgers had three number one picks. The 15th pick was used on Kiki Jones considered the best high school pitcher. Kiki reported to the highly offensive Pioneer League and proceeded to dominate as no 19-year-old had done in many a year. Kiki went 8 – 0 in 12 starts, threw two complete-game shutouts and found himself ranked as the 6th best prospect in baseball by Baseball America. He then blew out his arm and never got above AA ball.
In the Baseball America 1991 ranking, the Dodgers had
4th – Jose Offerman
14th – Raul Mondesi
29th – Henry Rodriquez
40th – Jamie McAndrew
43rd – Kiki Jones
71st – Dan Opperman
74th – Tom Goodwin
94th – Eric Karros
Thank goodness for Raul Mondesi.
In a three year time, the Dodgers lost Dan Opperman, Kiki Jones, and Jamie McAndrew to arm injuries. That was right about the time I was seduced by TINSTAAPP.
Players Who Died, died
We lost many baseball players in 2017 but none of them meant as much to me as the announcer we lost in Dick Enberg. Last week Spectrum Channel 30 played a Tribute to Dick Enberg and it was possibly the best I’ve seen of such shows. Mainly because Dick Enberg hosted his own tribute show. This show was produced by Fox Sports San Diego and was called A Tribute to Dick Enberg. What made this show unique was that it was produced after Dick retired from the Padres and he gave an excellent review of his career and how some forks in the road changed his life after high school. I’ve tried to find a link but have been unable to do so. If you have Spectrum, I’d suggest going to On Demand and finding it via the search option. It will be worth your hour.
You might be tired of hearing about Dick Enberg by now but I was blown away by the information I gleaned about his career from that special.
- He applied to be a janitor at the only radio station in his small town but when they interviewed him they liked his voice so they let him do the radio news.
- The sports director left after six months and with no one else available they gave him the job.
- He taught at the original San Fernando Valley State College, which eventually became Cal State Northridge before starting his broadcasting career in Los Angeles.
If you have watched any sports over the last two weeks you will have noticed something. Dick Enberg was such a giant in so many sports that you will have seen tributes to him during College Basketball games, NFL games, and College Football games. You can bet when the Masters comes around we will see another one.
He was unique and I still feel lucky to have moved to Southern California just as his broadcasting career was getting started. When you think about it, in 1969 a sports fan in Los Angles had Vin Scully, Dick Enberg, and Chick Hearn. The holy trinity.
This madcap poetic romp by Jim Carrol’s People who Died, died always struck me long before I knew anything about the Basketball Diaries. Jim wrote this iconic song in 1980, and Jim himself died in 2009 of a simple heart attack.
These are the baseball players who died in 2017, and here is a brief look at each of those who had either Dodger ties or impacted me as a baseball fan.
Jim Bunning – HOF pitcher who was 37 years old when the Dodgers acquired him on August 15th, 1969. Bunning made nine starts for the Dodgers and acquitted himself well enough but the team fell short of the postseason. Bunning won 19 games three years in a row and eventually had four seasons of 19 wins. Jim Bunning pitched as he threw over 200 innings eleven straight seasons.
Paul Casanova – Paul was a member of my original favorite team the 1968 Washington Senators. Casanova was a horrible offensive player and even Ted Williams couldn’t help him. He still managed a 10 year career.
Bill Hands was a pitcher for the Cubs in the late 60’s and early 70’s. Bill was an above average pitcher from 1967 – 1973 but the reason he makes this list is that he was the best pitcher for the Cubs in 1969 and I was a big fan of the 1969 Cub team. That was the team that had a nine game lead on Aug 16th but went 17 – 26 over their final 43 games and watched as the Mets stunned baseball by winning the NL Pennant and World Championship. I’m pretty sure the only reason I was rooting for the Cubs was to that Ernie Banks could finally go to a World Series. It never happened but I will admit I got all sorts of joy watching the Mets win the World Series.
Gene Michael was supposed to replace Maury Wills. The Dodgers traded for the slightly built shortstop on December 1st, 1966 after Wills angered Dodger management by complaining about the trip to Japan after the World Series. Michael was a horrible hitter and lasted only one season with the Dodgers. As a kid I held grudges against Dodgers who didn’t perform which meant I disliked Bob Bailey and Gene Michael for a long time. Michael made his bones as part of the NYY management team.