Let us revisit the rotation guesses

Phil Gurnee ♦ March 31, 2017 ♦ 4 Comments

Back on Feb 17th we did a little exercise to see if could figure out how many starts would be accumulated by the many potential candidates for the rotation. I put out three scenarios and scenario three is looking pretty good right now:)

Meh, that looks too safe. I want to go out on a limb and predict that Ryu is gonna change everything.

Starter	|	EstGamesStarted	|	Left
Kershaw	|	31	|	131
Maeda	|	25	|	106
Ryu	|	25	|	81
Hill	|	25	|	56
McCarthy	|	22	|	34
Urias	|	12	|	22
Alex Wood	|	10	|	12
Stewart	|	8	|	4
Ross Stripling	|	4	|	0
Scott Kazmir	|	0	|	0

I like how optimistic I went on Ryu/McCarthy but I don’t’ want to imagine a scenario where Urias only gets 12 starts.

What are your guesses now that the rotation is set and we know who is healthy?

Keep in mind that the Dodgers used 15 different starters in 2016 and 16 different starters in 2015.

Since 2010 these are the numbers:

• 2000 – 10
• 2001 – 12
• 2002 – 9
• 2003 – 10
• 2004 – 9
• 2005 10
• 2006 – 11
• 2007 – 11
• 2008 – 11
• 2009 – 12
• 2010 – 10
• 2011 – 9
• 2012 – 9
• 2013 – 11
• 2014 – 12
• 2015 – 16
• 2016 – 15

Since 2000

• Five times they have used nine different starters
• Three times they have used ten different starters
• Four times they have used eleven different starters
• Three times they have used twelve different starters

Can anyone name the 15 different starters in 2016?

I’ll start you off easy

• Kenta – 32
• Kazmir – 26
• Kershaw = 21
• Urias  – 15
• Stripling  – 14
• Wood – 10

Now the rest is upto you.